Result
3:3
28/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 5
- Referee: Tsimenteridis S. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (210/279) | 83% (369/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.70 | 2.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (210/279) | 83% (369/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (28/54) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (69/108) | 70% (93/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.52 | 3.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 7', 1 - 0, Macheda F. ⚽, Munoz Mumo (A),
- 19', Kaltsas N. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 1, Despodov K. (Pen),
- 26', 1 - 2, Konstantelias G. ⚽, Taison (A),
- 28', Kenny J. 🟨,
- 34', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 3, Chalov F. (Pen),
- 40', Camara M. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 3, Emmanouilidis D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Emmanouilidis D. 🟨,
- 53', Taison ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
- 53', Camara M. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
- 56', Pomonis K. 🟨,
- 63', Macheda F. ↓, Gioacchini N. ↑,
- 63', Gonzalez E. ↓, Bartolo J. ↑,
- 66', Ozdoev M. 🟨,
- 67', Zivkovic A. 🟨,
- 70', Alagbe O. ↓, Almyras C. ↑,
- 70', Chalov F. ↓, Giakoumakis G. ↑,
- 71', Despodov K. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 3, Gioacchini N. ⚽, Emmanouilidis D. (A),
- 85', Papadopoulos N. 🟨,
- 86', Kaltsas N. ↓, Charalampoglou G. ↑,
- 86', Emmanouilidis D. ↓, Ketu K. ↑,
- 90', Pomonis K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Asteras Tripolis
17.8% | Draw
28.7% | PAOK
53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAOK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Asteras Tripolis - PAOK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.96 ↑
(5.35) |
3.42 ↓
(3.73) |
2.01 ↑
(1.63) |
-4.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis - PAOK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
PAOK will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 0.
- Asteras Tripolis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, PAOK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, PAOK is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Chicco J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in PAOK: Pelkas D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Asteras Tripolis: Mendieta J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:38. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against PAOK?
Asteras Tripolis has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Asteras Tripolis?
PAOK has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Asteras Tripolis - PAOK were as follows:
02.03.2025
PAOK
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:0
24.11.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
PAOK
1:2
17.12.2023
Asteras Tripolis
-
PAOK
1:4
20.08.2023
PAOK
-
Asteras Tripolis
3:0
13.02.2023
Asteras Tripolis
-
PAOK
2:2
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Volos | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Aris | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | OFI Crete | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
