Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 13', Martins J. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Soares A. ⚽,
- 17', Maio F. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 2, Soares A. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 2, Talles Wander ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 2, Couto J. ⚽,
- 44', Erik 🟨,
- 45+1', Erik 🟨,
- 45+2', Vitinha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Soares A. ↓, Lemos I. M. ↑,
- 46', Veiga D. ↓, Pereira Pacheco R. F. ↑,
- 69', Pereira Pacheco R. F. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+6', Duarte D. P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanjoanense 32.4% | Draw 37.9% | Paredes 29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paredes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paredes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sanjoanense - Paredes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.49 ↑ (2.64) |
2.72 ↓ (3.26) |
3.92 ↑ (2.35) |
-9.1% (11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Paredes has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanjoanense won against Paredes?
Sanjoanense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paredes won against Sanjoanense?
Paredes has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanjoanense - Paredes were as follows:
18.02.2023
Sanjoanense
-
Paredes
1:1
04.11.2022
Paredes
-
Sanjoanense
3:2
Latest results of Sanjoanense
Latest results of Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Braga B | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
2 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
6 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
8 | AD Fafe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
9 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
10 | Sao Joao Ver | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
3 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
4 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
5 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
7 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
9 | Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
10 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )