Sanjoanense vs Paredes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Sanjoanense - Paredes
Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Total shots
810
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 13', Martins J. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Soares A. ,
  • 17', Maio F. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 2, Soares A. ,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Talles Wander ,
  • 43', 2 - 2, Couto J. ,
  • 44', Erik 🟨,
  • 45+1', Erik 🟨,
  • 45+2', Vitinha 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Soares A. , Lemos I. M. ,
  • 46', Veiga D. , Pereira Pacheco R. F. ,
  • 69', Pereira Pacheco R. F. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+6', Duarte D. P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sanjoanense
32.4%
Draw
37.9%
Paredes
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 27.6% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 27.6% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paredes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paredes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sanjoanense - Paredes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.64)
    2.72
    (3.26)
    3.92
    (2.35)
    -9.1%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Paredes has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanjoanense - Paredes were as follows:
    18.02.2023 Sanjoanense - Paredes 1:1
    04.11.2022 Paredes - Sanjoanense 3:2
    Latest results of Sanjoanense
    24.09.2025 Braga B - Sanjoanense 2:2
    20.09.2025 Sanjoanense - Felgueiras 0:4
    24.08.2025 Amarante - Sanjoanense 0:0
    16.08.2025 Sanjoanense - Marco 09 0:0
    Latest results of Paredes
    20.09.2025 Paredes - Chaves 0:2
    12.09.2025 Varzim - Paredes 2:2
    23.08.2025 Paredes - Trofense 0:0
    17.08.2025 Paredes - Fafe 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B73317:6112
    2Sanjoanense725010:7311
    3Trofense632110:4611
    4Varzim62319:549
    5Paredes71518:718
    6AD Marco 0971513:4-18
    7Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    8AD Fafe61325:9-46
    9Amarante61235:7-25
    10Sao Joao Ver70434:12-84


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses63126:7-110
    3Mafra62317:709
    41u00ba Dezembro62316:609
    5Academica63038:539
    6Santarem72234:7-38
    7Lusitano GC62138:627
    8Amora62135:6-17
    9Covilha61324:5-16
    10Atletico CP62044:6-26

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )