Result
0:0
08/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 21
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (342/416) | 85% (383/453) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (342/416) | 85% (383/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (122/165) | 62% (42/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Camara A. 🟨,
- 34', Kebbal I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Camara A. ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
- 59', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
- 61', Casimir J. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
- 63', Simon M. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
- 63', Kebbal I. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
- 72', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 78', Ahamada N. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
- 79', Immobile C. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
- 90+2', Mbow M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Auxerre
37.7% | Draw
29.6% | Paris FC
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)The chances for Paris FC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Auxerre - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.47) |
3.21 ↓
(3.22) |
2.91 ↑
(2.88) |
5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Paris FC?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Paris FC will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 56.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH 0 - Paris FC (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 9 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.
- Auxerre is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paris FC has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Sierralta F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Chergui S.
(Injury)
De Smet T.
(Injury)
Dicko N.
(Inactive)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Lees-Melou P.
(Shin Injury)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: Traore H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Paris FC?
Auxerre has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Auxerre?
Paris FC has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Paris FC were as follows:
29.11.2025
Paris FC
-
Auxerre
1:1
04.05.2024
Auxerre
-
Paris FC
2:0
07.10.2023
Paris FC
-
Auxerre
0:2
Latest results of Auxerre
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
