Result
4:2
31/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 28
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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 Austria | DAZN |
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 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
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 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
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 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
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 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
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 Slovakia | Voyo |
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 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (531/626) | 82% (335/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 29 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (531/626) | 82% (335/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/49) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (70/118) | 68% (75/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.49 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -2.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Kolodziejczak T. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
- 28', Henry V. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Krasso J. ⚽, Cafaro M. (A),
- 44', 3 - 0, Cafaro M. ⚽, De Smet T. (A),
- 45+4', Moucketou-Moussounda A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Henry V. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
- 46', Moucketou-Moussounda A. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
- 55', Lebreton N. 🟨,
- 59', Cafaro M. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
- 60', 4 - 0, Krasso J. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
- 69', Marchetti V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
- 69', Gory A. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
- 72', Grandsir S. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
- 72', Brahimi B. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
- 72', Benrahou Y. ↓, Autret M. ↑,
- 75', Krasso J. 🟨,
- 82', 4 - 1, Kyeremeh G. ⚽, Lecoeuche Q. (A),
- 88', Camara A. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
- 88', Krasso J. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 2, Tourraine M. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Paris FC
63.2% | Draw
22.1% | Caen
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Paris FC - Caen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.68) |
4.27 ↑
(3.69) |
6.39 ↑
(4.92) |
5.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Caen?
Users Predictions:
Paris FC will win
(36 of 41 users predict this - 87.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.78% – 97.82%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2.
- Recent matches Paris FC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Caen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Paris FC is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Gueye L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Caen: Bolumbu D.
(Injury)
Gaudin J.
(Yellow Cards)
Lecoeuche Q.
(Knee Injury)
M'Vila Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Tome G.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: Tourraine M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Caen: Thomas R.
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Caen?
Paris FC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Paris FC?
Caen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Caen were as follows:
17.08.2024
Caen
-
Paris FC
0:2
09.03.2024
Caen
-
Paris FC
0:1
05.08.2023
Paris FC
-
Caen
0:2
15.04.2023
Caen
-
Paris FC
3:1
27.08.2022
Paris FC
-
Caen
1:1
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pau FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Troyes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Guingamp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Laval | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Amiens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Clermont | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Reims | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Montpellier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Red Star | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Nancy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Rodez | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Annecy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
