Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
3:2
15/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, VTM 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandTVWan Sports 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 Extra
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.70
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
97
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
77% (232/303)88% (539/611)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.551.83
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
4023
Through passes
0% (0/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
315
Passes
77% (232/303)88% (539/611)
Long passes
39% (17/44)49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
68% (72/106)81% (92/114)
Crosses
53% (9/17)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.43
Fouls
153
Tackles
50% (11/22)63% (15/24)
Duels won
5154
Clearances Total
1326
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
13
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
1.833.55
Goals prevented
-0.170.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Hakimi A. ⚽,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Mendes N. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 2, Tielemans Y. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
  • 42', McGinn J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 2, McGinn J. ⚽,
  • 57', 3 - 2, Konsa E. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
  • 61', Barcola B. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
  • 66', McGinn J. ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
  • 67', Onana A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 76', Rashford M. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
  • 76', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
  • 88', Tielemans Y. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5enpbnek

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
29.5%		Draw
25.2%		Paris Saint-Germain
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 25.2% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 24.6% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
    •

    Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.4)    		 3.83 ↑
    (3.81)    		 2.12 ↑
    (2.07)    		 3.8%
    (4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 23 - 31.5%). PSG will win (votes: 38 - 52.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 40.6% – 63.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 6 - 46.2%). PSG (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.
    • Aston Villa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • PSG in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • PSG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Aston Villa have a series of guest games.
    • PSG will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Garcia A. (Inactive) Jimoh-Aloba J. (Inactive) Malen D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Knock)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    12.04.2025 Southampton - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺
    09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 2:1 ✺
    02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺
    30.03.2025 Preston North End - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Angers 1:0 ✺
    01.04.2025 Dunkerque - Paris Saint-Germain 2:4 ✺
    29.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Paris Saint-Germain 1:6 ✺
    11.03.2025 Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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