Result
1:1
22/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 29
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Sport Open Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 25% | 75% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (194/266) | 93% (782/842) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (194/266) | 93% (782/842) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 69% (27/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (43/75) | 88% (259/295) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.58 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Vitinha ⚽, Lee Kang-In (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Mendes N. ↓, Pacho W. ↑,
- 62', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
- 63', Dembele O. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
- 63', Lee Kang-In ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 71', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
- 73', Pallois N. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 77', Castelletto J. 🟨,
- 79', Chirivella P. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 1, Douglas Augusto ⚽,
- 86', Chirivella P. ↓, Kadewere T. ↑,
- 86', Abline M. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nantes
14% | Draw
18.6% | Paris Saint-Germain
67.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+5%)
Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.91 ↓
(8.2) |
5.06 ↓
(5.81) |
1.41 ↑
(1.33) |
5%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 6 - 15%). PSG will win (votes: 27 - 67.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 53% – 82%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 0.
- Recent matches Nantes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- PSG is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match PSG is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Coco M.
(Red Card)
Coquelin F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Doucoure S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mahamoud A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in PSG: Pacho W.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Lopes A.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nantes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 15:47 (average 0.8:2.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:16 (average 0.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Nantes has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Nantes?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
30.11.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Nantes
1:1
17.02.2024
Nantes
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:2
09.12.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Nantes
2:1
04.03.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Nantes
4:2
03.09.2022
Nantes
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:3
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
