Lecce vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce).

Serie A - Round 20
Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, Viaplay 2 Urheilu
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.87	1.11
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
1	2
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
3	3
Passes
75% (212/283)	84% (347/412)
Yellow cards
3	1
Red Cards
2	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.87	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.35	0.67
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
3	4
Shots inside the box
6	6
Shots outside the box
4	6
Hit the woodwork
1	2
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
15	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
17	16
Passes
75% (212/283)	84% (347/412)
Long passes
39% (19/49)	51% (20/39)
Passes in final third
67% (61/91)	68% (65/96)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	9% (2/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	0.46
Throw ins
23	29
Fouls
16	17
Tackles
50% (10/20)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
58	60
Clearances
35	20
Interceptions
4	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.67	0.35
Goals prevented
-0.33	-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Stulic N. ⚽, Banda L. (A),
23', Pierotti S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
56', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
57', Banda L. 🟥,
62', Kaba M. 🟨,
63', Keita M. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Tiago Gabriel (Own goal),
65', Stulic N. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
69', Del Prato E. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Pellegrino M. ⚽, Bernabe A. (A),
77', Ndaba C. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
78', Ramadani Y. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
78', Maleh Y. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
80', Ondrejka J. ↓, Benedyczak A. ↑,
80', Bernabe A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
84', Oristanio G. ↓, Britschgi S. ↑,
90+3', Gaspar K. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Lecce
34.3%

Draw
32.9%

Parma
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

31.9%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

32%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Lecce - Parma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.99)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	2.91 ↑ (2.59)	5.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Lecce - Parma?

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 6 - 15%). Parma will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 27 - 67.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53% – 82%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 10 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Parma (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 10 - 90.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.
Lecce is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Parma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Coulibaly L. (International duty)
There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)
There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Muscle Injury) Tete Morente (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Parma: Benedyczak A. (Illness)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Parma?

Lecce has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Lecce?

Parma has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Parma were as follows:

04.10.2025 Parma - Lecce 0:1

31.01.2025 Parma - Lecce 1:3

21.09.2024 Lecce - Parma 2:2

01.11.2023 Lecce - Parma 2:4

Latest results of Lecce

06.01.2026 Lecce - Roma 0:2 ✺

03.01.2026 Juventus - Lecce 1:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Lecce - Como 0:3 ✺

12.12.2025 Lecce - Pisa 1:0 ✺

07.12.2025 Cremonese - Lecce 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Parma

07.01.2026 Parma - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺

03.01.2026 Sassuolo - Parma 1:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Parma - Lazio 0:1 ✺

08.12.2025 Pisa - Parma 0:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	31	23	3	5	71:26	45	72
2	Napoli	31	20	5	6	47:30	17	65
3	AC Milan	31	18	9	4	47:24	23	63
4	Como	31	16	10	5	53:22	31	58
5	Juventus	31	16	9	6	54:29	25	57
6	AS Roma	31	17	3	11	42:28	14	54
7	Atalanta	31	14	11	6	44:27	17	53
8	Bologna	31	13	6	12	40:37	3	45
9	Lazio	31	11	11	9	32:29	3	44
10	Sassuolo	31	12	6	13	38:41	-3	42
11	Udinese	31	11	7	13	35:42	-7	40
12	Torino	31	10	6	15	35:53	-18	36
13	Parma	31	8	11	12	22:39	-17	35
14	Genoa	31	8	9	14	36:44	-8	33
15	Fiorentina	31	7	11	13	36:44	-8	32
16	Cagliari	31	7	9	15	32:44	-12	30
17	Cremonese	31	6	9	16	26:46	-20	27
18	Lecce	31	7	6	18	21:43	-22	27
19	Verona	31	3	9	19	22:53	-31	18
20	Pisa	31	2	12	17	23:55	-32	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B