Parma vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 6
  • Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue Premier Football 4
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.47
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
81% (392/482)66% (181/276)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.32
Total shots
107
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
81% (392/482)66% (181/276)
Long passes
53% (28/53)37% (23/63)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)47% (43/92)
Crosses
24% (4/17)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.38
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1616
Tackles
79% (11/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
6246
Clearances
1729
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.320.33
Goals prevented
-0.680.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Valeri E. , Lovik M. ,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Sottil R. , Gallo A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Britschgi S. , Almqvist P. ,
  • 67', Sorensen O. , Benedyczak A. ,
  • 68', Sottil R. , Banda L. ,
  • 76', Stulic N. , Camarda F. ,
  • 82', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
  • 84', Lovik M. , Djuric M. ,
  • 84', Bernabe A. , Estevez N. ,
  • 88', Coulibaly L. , Kaba M. ,
  • 88', Berisha M. , Ndaba C. ,
  • 90+2', Banda L. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Gaspar K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Parma
44.2%
Draw
30.1%
Lecce
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 25.9% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 21.9% 27.2%

Parma - Lecce Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.35
(1.87)
3.35
(3.69)
3.91
(4.15)
-1.9%
(4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Parma - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 46.5%86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Parma will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2.
    • Parma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lecce is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Parma is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Parma: Cremaschi B. (International duty) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive) Tete Morente (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Hernani (Ankle Injury) Valenti L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Gallo A. (Injury) Perez M. (Illness) Pierret B. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Parma won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Lecce were as follows:
    31.01.2025 Parma - Lecce 1:3
    21.09.2024 Lecce - Parma 2:2
    01.11.2023 Lecce - Parma 2:4
    Latest results of Parma
    29.09.2025 Parma - Torino 2:1
    24.09.2025 Parma - Spezia 3:2
    21.09.2025 Cremonese - Parma 0:0
    13.09.2025 Cagliari - Parma 2:0
    30.08.2025 Parma - Atalanta 1:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    28.09.2025 Lecce - Bologna 2:2
    23.09.2025 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    19.09.2025 Lecce - Cagliari 1:2
    14.09.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 4:1
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter15110434:142033
    2AC Milan1595124:131132
    3Napoli15101422:13931
    4AS Roma15100516:8830
    5Juventus1575319:14526
    6Bologna1574423:131025
    7Como1566319:12724
    8Lazio1564517:11622
    9Sassuolo1563621:19221
    10Udinese1563616:22-621
    11Cremonese1555518:18020
    12Atalanta1547419:18119
    13Torino1545615:26-1117
    14Lecce1544711:19-816
    15Cagliari1535715:21-614
    16Genoa1535716:23-714
    17Parma1535710:18-814
    18Verona1526713:22-912
    19Pisa1517710:20-1010
    20Fiorentina1506912:26-146

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B