Lecce vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 20
  • Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, Viaplay 2 Urheilu
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.871.11
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
12
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
33
Passes
75% (212/283)84% (347/412)
Yellow cards
31
Red Cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
0.871.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.350.67
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
66
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
12
Headed goals
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1716
Passes
75% (212/283)84% (347/412)
Long passes
39% (19/49)51% (20/39)
Passes in final third
67% (61/91)68% (65/96)
Crosses
26% (5/19)9% (2/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.46
Throw ins
2329
Fouls
1617
Tackles
50% (10/20)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5860
Clearances
3520
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
10
xGOT faced
0.670.35
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Stulic N. , Banda L. (A),
  • 23', Pierotti S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', Pierotti S. , Ndri K. ,
  • 56', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
  • 57', Banda L. 🟥,
  • 62', Kaba M. 🟨,
  • 63', Keita M. , Estevez N. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Tiago Gabriel (Own goal),
  • 65', Stulic N. , Gallo A. ,
  • 69', Del Prato E. 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Pellegrino M. , Bernabe A. (A),
  • 77', Ndaba C. , Sottil R. ,
  • 78', Ramadani Y. , Coulibaly L. ,
  • 78', Maleh Y. , Gandelman O. ,
  • 80', Ondrejka J. , Benedyczak A. ,
  • 80', Bernabe A. , Ordonez C. ,
  • 84', Oristanio G. , Britschgi S. ,
  • 90+3', Gaspar K. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Lecce
34.3%
Draw
32.9%
Parma
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 31.9% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 32% 36.4%

Lecce - Parma Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.77
(2.99)
2.88
(2.96)
2.91
(2.59)
5.2%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lecce - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 6 - 15%). Parma will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 27 - 67.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53%82%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.
    • Lecce is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Parma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Coulibaly L. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Muscle Injury) Tete Morente (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Benedyczak A. (Illness)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Parma were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Parma - Lecce 0:1
    31.01.2025 Parma - Lecce 1:3
    21.09.2024 Lecce - Parma 2:2
    01.11.2023 Lecce - Parma 2:4
    Latest results of Lecce
    06.01.2026 Lecce - Roma 0:2
    03.01.2026 Juventus - Lecce 1:1
    27.12.2025 Lecce - Como 0:3
    12.12.2025 Lecce - Pisa 1:0
    07.12.2025 Cremonese - Lecce 2:0
    Latest results of Parma
    07.01.2026 Parma - Inter Milan 0:2
    03.01.2026 Sassuolo - Parma 1:1
    27.12.2025 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0
    13.12.2025 Parma - Lazio 0:1
    08.12.2025 Pisa - Parma 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter19141442:172543
    2AC Milan19117130:151540
    3Napoli19123430:171339
    4Juventus20116332:161639
    5AS Roma20130724:121239
    6Como1997327:131434
    7Atalanta2087525:19631
    8Lazio2077621:16528
    9Bologna1976626:20627
    10Udinese2075822:32-1026
    11Sassuolo2065923:27-423
    12Torino2065921:32-1123
    13Cremonese2057820:28-822
    14Parma1956814:22-821
    15Genoa2047922:29-719
    16Cagliari2047921:30-919
    17Lecce19451013:27-1417
    18Fiorentina20281021:31-1014
    19Verona19271015:31-1613
    20Pisa20110915:30-1513

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B