Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 6
- Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True Premier Football 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (392/482) | 66% (181/276) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (392/482) | 66% (181/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 37% (23/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (78/123) | 47% (43/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Valeri E. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
- 38', 0 - 1, Sottil R. ⚽, Gallo A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Britschgi S. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
- 67', Sorensen O. ↓, Benedyczak A. ↑,
- 68', Sottil R. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
- 76', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
- 82', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
- 84', Lovik M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
- 84', Bernabe A. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
- 88', Coulibaly L. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
- 88', Berisha M. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
- 90+2', Banda L. 🟨,
- 90+9', Gaspar K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Parma
44.2% | Draw
30.1% | Lecce
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parma's form might have worsened.Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Parma - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(1.87) |
3.35 ↓
(3.69) |
3.91 ↓
(4.15) |
-1.9%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Parma - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Parma will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2.
- Parma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lecce is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Parma is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Parma: Cremaschi B.
(International duty)
Frigan M.
(Knee Injury)
Ondrejka J.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Lecce: Jean G.
(Knee Injury)
Marchwinski F.
(Knee Injury)
Rafia H.
(Inactive)
Tete Morente
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Parma: Hernani
(Ankle Injury)
Valenti L.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Gallo A.
(Injury)
Perez M.
(Illness)
Pierret B.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Parma won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Lecce?
Parma has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Parma?
Lecce has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Lecce were as follows:
31.01.2025
Parma
-
Lecce
1:3
21.09.2024
Lecce
-
Parma
2:2
01.11.2023
Lecce
-
Parma
2:4
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 3 |
| 20 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
