Result
1:3
31/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 23
- Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Maldives | ICE Sports |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tanzania | Azam Sports 4 |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (340/407) | 85% (397/468) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 66% (86/131) | 58% (39/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 45% (5/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 80% (12/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 8 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Valeri E. (Pen),
- 36', 1 - 1, Krstovic N. ⚽, Helgason T. J. (A),
- 45', Mihaila V. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Haj Mohamed A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
- 56', Ramadani Y. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
- 56', Karlsson J. ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Pierotti S. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
- 69', Valenti L. ↓, Hainaut A. ↑,
- 69', Keita M. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
- 75', Cancellieri M. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
- 79', Karlsson J. 🟨,
- 90', Camara D. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Pierotti S. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
Chances of winning
Parma
44.1% | Draw
27.9% | Lecce
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Parma - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.07) |
3.44 ↓
(3.5) |
3.42 ↓
(3.5) |
4.3%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Parma - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 20 - 48.8%). Lecce will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 36.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 33.5% – 64.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 2.
- Recent matches Parma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lecce is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Parma will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Parma: Charpentier G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Circati A.
(Knee Injury)
Del Prato E.
(Yellow Cards)
Di Chiara G.
(Injury)
Kowalski M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lecce: Banda L.
(Broken ankle)
Gaspar K.
(Injury)
Gonzalez J.
(Chest Injury)
Marchwinski F.
(Knee Injury)
Rafia H.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Parma: Balogh B.
(Calf Injury)
Bernabe A.
(Thigh Injury)
Estevez N.
(Injury)
Osorio Y.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Parma won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Lecce?
Parma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Parma?
Lecce has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Lecce were as follows:
21.09.2024
Lecce
-
Parma
2:2
01.11.2023
Lecce
-
Parma
2:4
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Cremonese | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Inter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Lazio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bologna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Pisa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Lecce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Verona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Sassuolo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
