Result
0:1
13/05/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 37
- Referee: Irrati M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
SPAL
24.3% | Draw
27.3% | Parma
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SPAL's form might have worsened.Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parma's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPAL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
SPAL - Parma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↑
(2.89) |
3.5 ↑
(3.12) |
1.94 ↓
(2.47) |
5.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SPAL - Parma?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Parma will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 29.2% – 76.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (63.82%), project points - 37, currently - 35, a very good chance of relegated (96%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Parma has the most likely position - 5 (46.01%), project points - 58, currently - 55, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (16%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 32, importance 32, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3.
- Recent matches SPAL is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Parma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Parma will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches SPAL won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Parma?
SPAL has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against SPAL?
Parma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Parma were as follows:
18.12.2022
Parma
-
SPAL
0:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
