SPAL vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B SPAL - Parma
Result
0:1
13/05/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 37
  • Referee: Irrati M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Chances of winning


SPAL
24.3%
Draw
27.3%
Parma
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 29.9% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 29.6% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SPAL's form might have worsened.
  • Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parma's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPAL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • SPAL - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.86
    (2.89)
    3.47
    (3.12)
    1.95
    (2.47)
    6%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for SPAL - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Parma will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 29.2%76.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (63.82%), project points - 37, currently - 35, a very good chance of relegated (96%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Parma has the most likely position - 5 (46.01%), project points - 58, currently - 55, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (16%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 32, importance 32, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3.
    • Recent matches SPAL is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Parma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Parma will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches SPAL won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Parma were as follows:
    18.12.2022 Parma - SPAL 0:1
    Latest results of SPAL
    06.05.2023 Palermo - SPAL 2:1
    22.04.2023 Modena - SPAL 0:0
    15.04.2023 SPAL - Brescia 2:2
    10.04.2023 Benevento - SPAL 1:3
    01.04.2023 SPAL - Ternana 1:1
    Latest results of Parma
    07.05.2023 Parma - Brescia 2:0
    01.05.2023 Benevento - Parma 2:2
    22.04.2023 Parma - Cagliari 2:1
    14.04.2023 Modena - Parma 1:1
    10.04.2023 Cittadella - Parma 0:1
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2