Result
0:1
13/05/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 37
- Referee: Irrati M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
SPAL
24.3% | Draw
27.3% | Parma
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
SPAL - Parma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.86 ↑
(2.89) |
3.47 ↑
(3.12) |
1.95 ↓
(2.47) |
6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SPAL - Parma?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Parma will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 29.2% – 76.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (63.82%), project points - 37, currently - 35, a very good chance of relegated (96%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Parma has the most likely position - 5 (46.01%), project points - 58, currently - 55, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (16%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 32, importance 32, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3.
- Recent matches SPAL is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Parma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Parma will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches SPAL won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Parma?
SPAL has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against SPAL?
Parma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Parma were as follows:
18.12.2022
Parma
-
SPAL
0:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 46:22 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 44:22 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Monza | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 36:19 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Palermo | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 39:19 | 20 | 45 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Juve Stabia | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 29:27 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Modena | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 8 | Cesena | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Padova | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | Empoli | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Avellino | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:40 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 26 |
| 15 | Entella | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 | Reggiana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 17 | Mantova | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 23 |
| 18 | Spezia | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20:30 | -10 | 22 |
| 19 | Bari | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
| 20 | Pescara | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 27:48 | -21 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
