Result
2:1
06/05/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 36
- Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
Chances of winning
Palermo
54.3% | Draw
24.9% | SPAL
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palermo's performance.SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palermo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Palermo - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(2.03) |
3.81 ↑
(3.2) |
4.51 ↑
(3.67) |
5.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palermo - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
Palermo will win
(19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Palermo has the most likely position - 11 (17.6%), project points - 49, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (40.83%), project points - 38, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (84%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 29, importance 41, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Palermo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches SPAL is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Palermo is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Palermo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against SPAL?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Palermo?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - SPAL were as follows:
11.12.2022
SPAL
-
Palermo
1:1
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
