Result
0:1
13/05/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 37
- Referee: Irrati M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
SPAL
24.3% | Draw
27.3% | Parma
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SPAL's form might have worsened.Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parma's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPAL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
SPAL - Parma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.86 ↑
(2.89) |
3.47 ↑
(3.12) |
1.95 ↓
(2.47) |
6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SPAL - Parma?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Parma will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 29.2% – 76.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (63.82%), project points - 37, currently - 35, a very good chance of relegated (96%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Parma has the most likely position - 5 (46.01%), project points - 58, currently - 55, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (16%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 32, importance 32, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3.
- Recent matches SPAL is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Parma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Parma will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches SPAL won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Parma?
SPAL has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against SPAL?
Parma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Parma were as follows:
18.12.2022
Parma
-
SPAL
0:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
