Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 25
- Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Argentina | DAZN, Disney+, ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bolivia | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | DAZN Canada, FuboTV |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Ecuador | DAZN |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 1 |
Kuwait | Shasha |
Malaysia | Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | VG+ |
Paraguay | DAZN |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+ |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Uruguay | DAZN, Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | DAZN, Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360, VTVcab |
World | Starzplay Sports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (535/598) | 66% (133/203) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (535/598) | 66% (133/203) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (28/47) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (205/242) | 41% (23/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (7/47) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Bernabe A. ⚽, Keita M. (A),
- 11', Orban G. 🟥,
- 20', Belghali R. ↓, Akpa Akpro J. ↑,
- 41', Circati A. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Harroui A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', Valenti L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Valenti L. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
- 62', Keita M. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
- 62', Bowie K. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
- 70', Sorensen O. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
- 79', Harroui A. ↓, Slotsager T. ↑,
- 79', Niasse C. ↓, Serdar S. ↑,
- 87', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Pellegrino M. ⚽, Nicolussi Caviglia H. (A),
- 90+5', Strefezza G. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Parma 42.1% | Draw 32.1% | Verona 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Parma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+5%)
Parma - Verona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↓ (2.44) |
2.97 ↑ (2.77) |
3.72 ↑ (3.55) |
4.7% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Parma - Verona?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 21 - 58.3%). Verona will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 42.2% – 74.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Parma (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2.
- In recent matches, Parma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Verona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Parma could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Parma: Estevez N.
(Knee Injury)
Frigan M.
(Knee Injury)
Ndiaye A.
(Groin Injury)
Suzuki Z.
(Finger Injury)
Troilo M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Verona: Bernede A.
(Injury)
Gagliardini R.
(Injury)
Lovric S.
(Inactive)
Valentini N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Parma: Valenti L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Verona: Belghali R.
(Ankle Injury)
Suslov T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Parma won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Verona?
Parma has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Verona won against Parma?
Verona has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Verona were as follows:
23.11.2025
Verona
-
Parma
1:2
31.03.2025
Verona
-
Parma
0:0
15.12.2024
Parma
-
Verona
2:3
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 62:21 | 41 | 64 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 41:20 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Napoli | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 34:16 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Juventus | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:25 | 18 | 46 |
| 6 | Como | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 45 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Lazio | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Udinese | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | Parma | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 32 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Genoa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:37 | -5 | 27 |
| 15 | Torino | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 25:47 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 26 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 20:43 | -23 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 26 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 19:46 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B