Result
2:2
31/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (342/430) | 75% (230/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (342/430) | 75% (230/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 40% (30/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/108) | 56% (50/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Sareepim S. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, bin Fandi Ahmad I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Promsawat M. ↓, Phanitchakun P. ↑,
- 46', Phrmanee B. ↓, Kannoo S. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Dudu ⚽, Thinjom S. (A),
- 61', Panya E. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
- 61', Jantawong P. ↓, Tongkiri C. ↑,
- 74', Dudu ↓, Phutonyong C. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Dolah E. ⚽, Kaman K. (A),
- 77', Matsuda R. ↓, Jamnongwat W. ↑,
- 77', Takagi Y. ↓, Nonthasila S. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Iury C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Suvannaseat S. ↓, Lee S. ↑,
- 88', bin Fandi Ahmad I. ↓, Matheus Fornazari ↑,
- 90+6', Thinjom S. ↓, Srisai T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pathum United
60.6% | Draw
23% | Chiangrai United
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Chiangrai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)The ML Model estimate for Chiangrai United aligns with the current prediction.
Pathum United - Chiangrai United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.51) |
3.96 ↓
(4.16) |
5.56 ↑
(5.47) |
9.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pathum United - Chiangrai United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Pathum United (2.08) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Pathum United will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pathum United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Chiangrai United (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Pathum United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Chiangrai United has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Pathum United is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Chiangrai United?
Pathum United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chiangrai United won against Pathum United?
Chiangrai United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pathum United - Chiangrai United were as follows:
21.09.2025
Chiangrai United
-
Pathum United
1:0
18.01.2025
Chiangrai United
-
Pathum United
1:0
28.08.2024
Pathum United
-
Chiangrai United
2:0
06.04.2024
Chiangrai United
-
Pathum United
2:3
28.12.2023
Pathum United
-
Chiangrai United
2:2
Latest results of Pathum United
Latest results of Chiangrai United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 67:21 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48:21 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:34 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 25 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 26:46 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22:46 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
