Atlético Nacional vs Patronato Parana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana
Result
0:1
27/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
59.4%
Draw
24.2%
Patronato Parana
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 21.1% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 20.2% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.
  • Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.41)
    3.89
    (4.41)
    5.72
    (7.4)
    6.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Atlético Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Patronato is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Patronato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Atlético Nacional is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana were as follows:
    05.04.2023 Patronato Parana - Atlético Nacional 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ