Atlético Nacional vs Patronato Parana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
27/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
59.4%
Draw
24.2%
Patronato Parana
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 21.1% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 20.2% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.
  • Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.41)
    3.89
    (4.41)
    5.72
    (7.4)
    6.9%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Atlético Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Patronato is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Patronato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Atlético Nacional is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana were as follows:
    05.04.2023 Patronato Parana - Atlético Nacional 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)