Martigues vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Martigues - Pau
Result
2:2
14/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.642.18
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1015
Shots on Goal
47
Shots off Goal
46
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Free Kicks
1912
Offsides
43
Fouls
1219
Yellow Cards
04
Throw-ins
3220
Touches in the Opposition Box
1920
Passes
79% (349/440)77% (270/349)
Passes in the final third
59% (57/97)65% (65/100)
Crosses
33% (8/24)42% (8/19)
Tackles
86% (12/14)73% (11/15)
Clearances Total
1724
Interceptions
1010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Tlili K. , Hadjem Y. (A),
  • 39', Bangre M. , Diawara K. ,
  • 45+1', Kante 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Diawara K. , Mboup P. (A),
  • 53', 1 - 2, Boutaib K. (Pen),
  • 65', Obiang J. , Kalulu J. ,
  • 65', Koudou T. , Gaspar J. ,
  • 66', Kembolo F. , Djaha A. ,
  • 66', Moussiti-Oko B. , Montiel R. ,
  • 70', Mboup P. 🟨,
  • 75', Ipiele A. , Diawara A. ,
  • 75', Orinel O. , Belloumou S. ,
  • 85', Diawara K. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Tlili K. ,
  • 88', Robin M. , Siby M. ,
  • 89', Ngom O. 🟨,
  • 90', Ngom O. , Kouassi L.X. ,

Chances of winning


Martigues
29%
Draw
28.1%
Pau
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 28% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 27.4% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Martigues - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (3.81)
    3.35
    (3.35)
    2.19
    (1.98)
    6.3%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Martigues - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
    • Recent matches Martigues is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pau is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Pau will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Martigues: Diawara A. (Injury) Marillat Y. (Injury) Orinel O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Pau: Arconte T. (Ankle Injury) Bobichon A. (Injury) Kouassi L.X. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Martigues: Saintini N. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Martigues - Pau were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Pau - Martigues 3:0
    Latest results of Martigues
    07.03.2025 Bastia - Martigues 1:0
    28.02.2025 Laval - Martigues 0:1
    21.02.2025 Martigues - Annecy 2:0
    14.02.2025 Red Star - Martigues 1:0
    07.02.2025 Martigues - Troyes 1:2
    Latest results of Pau
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    28.02.2025 Pau - Grenoble 1:0
    22.02.2025 Caen - Pau 2:2
    14.02.2025 Pau - Rodez 0:5
    07.02.2025 Paris FC - Pau 3:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nancy32104:137
    2Troyes32103:127
    3Clermont31204:315
    4St Etienne21107:344
    5Red Star31116:424
    6Montpellier31113:304
    7Reims21103:214
    8Pau FC21103:124
    9Amiens31115:414
    10Le Mans31115:504
    11Annecy31113:4-14
    12Laval30305:503
    13Dunkerque30215:7-22
    14Rodez30211:5-42
    15Bastia20111:2-11
    16Grenoble30123:5-21
    17Guingamp30123:8-51
    18Boulogne10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National