Athletico Paranaense vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B
Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.41
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
82% (397/487)71% (205/289)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.53
Total shots
187
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
238
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
610
Passes
82% (397/487)71% (205/289)
Long passes
45% (26/58)35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
70% (105/151)53% (36/68)
Crosses
30% (6/20)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.16
Throw-ins
3622
Fouls
106
Tackles
75% (6/8)55% (11/20)
Duels won
3542
Clearances
1343
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.530.85
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Felipinho ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
  • 63', Patrick 🟨,
  • 65', Marcelinho ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
  • 71', Belezi ↓, Benavidez G. ↑,
  • 71', Leo Derik ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
  • 79', Anderson Leite 🟨,
  • 79', Anderson Leite ↓, Ramon Martinez ↑,
  • 80', Denner ↓, Edilson ↑,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Dudu Kogitzki ⚽,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Diogo Oliveira ⚽, Edilson (A),
  • 88', Mendoza S. 🟨,
  • 89', Novillo J. ↓, Thiago Heleno ↑,
  • 90+2', Diogo Riquelme ↓, Giuliano ↑,
  • 90+2', Zapelli B. ↓, Tevis ↑,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
62.1%		Draw
24.2%		Paysandu
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 25.4% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 26.1% 14.9%

Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.51 ↓
(1.57)		 3.85 ↑
(3.67)		 6.71 ↑
(6.08)		 7%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 11.9% – 76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Paysandu (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Athletico PR (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 20%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Paysandu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paysandu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F. (Foot Injury) Esquivel L. (Knee Injury) Julimar (Knee Injury) Leo Derik (Muscle Injury) Luiz Fernando (Muscle Injury) Madson (Muscle Injury) Raul (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Marlon Douglas (Yellow Cards) Matheus Vargas (Inactive) Rossi (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Edinho (Knee Injury) Luan Freitas (Inactive) Marlon Douglas (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Athletico PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense 1:2
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    31.07.2025 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1 ✺
    27.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2 ✺
    22.07.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária 1:1 ✺
    19.07.2025 Volta Redonda - Athletico Paranaense 3:2 ✺
    12.07.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Goiás 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Paysandu
    28.07.2025 Paysandu - Athletic Club 1:1 ✺
    23.07.2025 Amazonas - Paysandu 1:1 ✺
    19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5 ✺
    12.07.2025 Paysandu - Atlético Goianiense 2:2 ✺
    05.07.2025 Avaí - Paysandu 0:0 ✺
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avai00000:000
    2Ceara00000:000
    3Sport Recife00000:000
    4Goias00000:000
    5Nautico00000:000
    6CRB00000:000
    7Criciuma00000:000
    8Vila Nova FC00000:000
    9Juventude00000:000
    10Ponte Preta00000:000
    11Fortaleza00000:000
    12Atletico GO00000:000
    13America MG00000:000
    14Botafogo SP00000:000
    15Londrina00000:000
    16Sao Bernardo00000:000
    17Cuiaba00000:000
    18Operario-PR00000:000
    19Novorizontino00000:000
    20Athletic Club00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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