Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (397/487) | 71% (205/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (397/487) | 71% (205/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (26/58) | 35% (23/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (105/151) | 53% (36/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Felipinho ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 63', Patrick 🟨,
- 65', Marcelinho ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
- 71', Belezi ↓, Benavidez G. ↑,
- 71', Leo Derik ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
- 79', Anderson Leite 🟨,
- 79', Anderson Leite ↓, Ramon Martinez ↑,
- 80', Denner ↓, Edilson ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Dudu Kogitzki ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 1, Diogo Oliveira ⚽, Edilson (A),
- 88', Mendoza S. 🟨,
- 89', Novillo J. ↓, Thiago Heleno ↑,
- 90+2', Diogo Riquelme ↓, Giuliano ↑,
- 90+2', Zapelli B. ↓, Tevis ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
62.1% | Draw
24.2% | Paysandu
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.57) |
3.85 ↑
(3.67) |
6.71 ↑
(6.08) |
7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Paysandu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paysandu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletico PR is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F.
(Foot Injury)
Esquivel L.
(Knee Injury)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Leo Derik
(Muscle Injury)
Luiz Fernando
(Muscle Injury)
Madson
(Muscle Injury)
Raul
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Marlon Douglas
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Vargas
(Inactive)
Rossi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P.
(Ankle Injury)
Edinho
(Knee Injury)
Luan Freitas
(Inactive)
Marlon Douglas
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Athletico PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Paysandu?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Athletico Paranaense?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu were as follows:
04.04.2025
Paysandu
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:2
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 35:21 | 14 | 60 |
| 2 | Remo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Goias | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 55 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 55 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 44:32 | 12 | 54 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 50 |
| 9 | CRB | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 39:34 | 5 | 48 |
| 10 | Avai | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 48 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | America MG | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 35 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 34 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
