Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.27 | 0.41 |
Ball Possession |
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63% | 37% |
Total shots |
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18 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
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82% (397/487) | 71% (205/289) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.27 | 0.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.85 | 0.53 |
Total shots |
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18 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
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9 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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6 | 10 |
Passes |
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82% (397/487) | 71% (205/289) |
Long passes |
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45% (26/58) | 35% (23/65) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (105/151) | 53% (36/68) |
Crosses |
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30% (6/20) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.08 | 0.16 |
Throw-ins |
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36 | 22 |
Fouls |
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10 | 6 |
Tackles |
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75% (6/8) | 55% (11/20) |
Duels won |
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35 | 42 |
Clearances |
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13 | 43 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.53 | 0.85 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.47 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Felipinho ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 63', Patrick 🟨,
- 65', Marcelinho ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
- 71', Belezi ↓, Benavidez G. ↑,
- 71', Leo Derik ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
- 79', Anderson Leite 🟨,
- 79', Anderson Leite ↓, Ramon Martinez ↑,
- 80', Denner ↓, Edilson ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Dudu Kogitzki ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 1, Diogo Oliveira ⚽, Edilson (A),
- 88', Mendoza S. 🟨,
- 89', Novillo J. ↓, Thiago Heleno ↑,
- 90+2', Diogo Riquelme ↓, Giuliano ↑,
- 90+2', Zapelli B. ↓, Tevis ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense 62.1% | Draw 24.2% | Paysandu 13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.57) |
3.85 ↑ (3.67) |
6.71 ↑ (6.08) |
7% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Paysandu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paysandu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletico PR is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F.
(Foot Injury)
Esquivel L.
(Knee Injury)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Leo Derik
(Muscle Injury)
Luiz Fernando
(Muscle Injury)
Madson
(Muscle Injury)
Raul
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Marlon Douglas
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Vargas
(Inactive)
Rossi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P.
(Ankle Injury)
Edinho
(Knee Injury)
Luan Freitas
(Inactive)
Marlon Douglas
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Athletico PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Paysandu?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Athletico Paranaense?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu were as follows:
04.04.2025
Paysandu
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:2
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
2 | Goias | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 41 |
3 | Chapecoense-SC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Criciuma | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 36 |
5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
6 | Remo | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 34 |
7 | Vila Nova FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Avai | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
9 | Cuiaba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 32 |
10 | CRB | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24:21 | 3 | 31 |
11 | Ferroviaria | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
12 | Operario-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Athletico-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 27 |
14 | Atletico GO | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
15 | Athletic Club | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 25 |
16 | America MG | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 22 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 22 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )