Athletico Paranaense vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
60.9%
Draw
24.7%
Paysandu
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 25.4% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 26.1% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Athletico Paranaense aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.57)
    3.79
    (3.67)
    6.35
    (6.08)
    7.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Paysandu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paysandu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F. (Foot Injury) Esquivel L. (Knee Injury) Julimar (Knee Injury) Leo Derik (Muscle Injury) Luiz Fernando (Muscle Injury) Madson (Muscle Injury) Raul (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Marlon Douglas (Yellow Cards) Matheus Vargas (Inactive) Rossi (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Edinho (Knee Injury) Luan Freitas (Inactive) Marlon Douglas (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Athletico PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense 1:2
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Paysandu
    28.07.2025 Paysandu - Athletic Club 1:1
    23.07.2025 Amazonas - Paysandu 1:1
    19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5
    05.07.2025 Avaí - Paysandu 0:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias20115426:17938
    2Coritiba20115422:14838
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma2085723:18529
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11CRB1974820:18225
    12Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    13Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG20631121:28-721
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Botafogo SP2056914:28-1421
    19Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    20Amazonas2048820:27-720

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )