Paysandu vs Atlético Goianiense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Paysandu - Atlético Goianiense
Result
2:2
12/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 16
  • Referee: Goncalves K. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.86
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
116
Passes
73% (207/284)77% (272/353)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.86
xG on target (xGOT)
2.171.60
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
116
Touches in opposition box
2327
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
73% (207/284)77% (272/353)
Long passes
42% (25/60)28% (15/53)
Passes in final third
62% (56/91)61% (67/109)
Crosses
29% (7/24)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.49
Throw-ins
2825
Fouls
1816
Tackles
53% (9/17)86% (12/14)
Duels won
6556
Clearances
3338
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.602.17
Goals prevented
-0.400.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 15', Matheus Felipe 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Marcelinho , Ham E. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Rossi , Mauricio Garcez (A),
  • 45+8', Ronaldo Henrique 🟨,
  • 45+10', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
  • 45+11', 1 - 2, Marcelinho (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vinicius Faria , Benitez J. ,
  • 46', Ronaldo Henrique , Anderson Leite ,
  • 47', 2 - 2, Anderson Leite , Reverson (A),
  • 52', Rossi , Marlon Douglas ,
  • 59', Caio Dantas , Sandro Lima ,
  • 59', Cruz A. , Kelvin ,
  • 66', Marcelinho 🟨,
  • 66', Denner , Marcelinho ,
  • 67', Heron , Pedro Henrique ,
  • 69', Guilherme Romao 🟨,
  • 78', Guilherme Romao , Conrado ,
  • 78', Marcelinho , Shaylon ,
  • 78', Bryan Borges , Edilson ,
  • 86', Thalisson 🟨,
  • 90+6', Pedro Henrique 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
36%
Draw
33%
Atlético Goianiense
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 32.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 32.9% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Paysandu - Atlético Goianiense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.46)
    2.85
    (2.88)
    3.02
    (3.24)
    6.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - Atlético Goianiense?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 0.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Atlético GO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Benitez J. (Inactive) Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edilson (Inactive) Edinho (Knee Injury) Luan Freitas (Yellow Cards) Matheus Vargas (Inactive) Patric Calmon (Inactive) Quintana Y. (Injury) Rossi (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Atlético GO: Wallace (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Diogo Oliveira (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético GO: Anderson (Inactive) Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    Latest results of Paysandu
    05.07.2025 Avaí - Paysandu 0:0
    30.06.2025 Paysandu - Ferroviária 2:1
    21.06.2025 Remo - Paysandu 0:1
    13.06.2025 Paysandu - Botafogo SP 1:0
    06.06.2025 Cuiabá - Paysandu 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba26138528:161247
    2Goias26136732:25745
    3Criciuma26127733:211243
    4Chapecoense-SC25125836:241241
    5Remo26912528:23539
    6Cuiaba26108831:30138
    7Novorizontino25910627:24337
    8Athletico-PR25106934:34036
    9Vila Nova FC261061026:26036
    10Avai2599732:26636
    11Operario-PR2698928:25335
    12CRB251041126:23334
    13Athletic Club26951229:34-532
    14Atletico GO25711727:27032
    15Ferroviaria25710827:30-331
    16Botafogo SP26771221:38-1728
    17America MG26761326:33-727
    18Volta Redonda26691116:27-1127
    19Amazonas25591126:37-1124
    20Paysandu PA264101221:31-1022

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )