Result
0:0
05/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 15
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (478/570) | 65% (165/252) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (478/570) | 65% (165/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (49/79) | 33% (19/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (146/201) | 49% (33/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Wendel ↑,
- 44', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ronaldo Henrique ↓, Bryan Borges ↑,
- 46', Mario Sergio ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 64', Gustavo Barreto ↓, JP ↑,
- 65', Emerson Negueba ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 65', Anderson Leite 🟨,
- 75', Anderson Leite ↓, Ramon Martinez ↑,
- 76', Marlon Douglas ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 80', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 81', Joao Vitor ↓, Mendes ↑,
- 82', Vinicius Faria ↓, Denner ↑,
- 90+2', Luan Freitas 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avaí
54.5% | Draw
27.1% | Paysandu
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Avaí - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.7) |
3.41 ↑
(3.24) |
5.09 ↑
(4.27) |
7.3%
(13.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avaí - Paysandu?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Avaí (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Avaí will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Avaí is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Paysandu?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Avaí?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Paysandu were as follows:
22.08.2024
Avaí
-
Paysandu
1:0
03.05.2024
Paysandu
-
Avaí
0:0
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | America MG | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
