Result
0:0
05/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 15
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (478/570) | 65% (165/252) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (478/570) | 65% (165/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (49/79) | 33% (19/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (146/201) | 49% (33/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Wendel ↑,
- 44', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ronaldo Henrique ↓, Bryan Borges ↑,
- 46', Mario Sergio ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 64', Gustavo Barreto ↓, JP ↑,
- 65', Emerson Negueba ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 65', Anderson Leite 🟨,
- 75', Anderson Leite ↓, Ramon Martinez ↑,
- 76', Marlon Douglas ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 80', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 81', Joao Vitor ↓, Mendes ↑,
- 82', Vinicius Faria ↓, Denner ↑,
- 90+2', Luan Freitas 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avaí
54.5% | Draw
27.1% | Paysandu
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Avaí - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.7) |
3.41 ↑
(3.24) |
5.09 ↑
(4.27) |
7.3%
(13.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avaí - Paysandu?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Avaí (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Avaí will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Avaí is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Paysandu?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Avaí?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Paysandu were as follows:
22.08.2024
Avaí
-
Paysandu
1:0
03.05.2024
Paysandu
-
Avaí
0:0
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Remo | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Criciuma | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 10 | Avai | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 20 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 20 |
| 17 | Paysandu PA | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Botafogo SP | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
