Avaí vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Avaí - Paysandu
Result
0:0
05/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 15
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.08
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
203
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
84% (478/570)65% (165/252)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.06
Total shots
203
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
348
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
2212
Passes
84% (478/570)65% (165/252)
Long passes
62% (49/79)33% (19/58)
Passes in final third
73% (146/201)49% (33/68)
Crosses
29% (7/24)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.16
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
1222
Tackles
67% (12/18)58% (7/12)
Duels won
7542
Clearances
1142
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.060.61
Goals prevented
0.060.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Diogo Oliveira , Wendel ,
  • 44', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ronaldo Henrique , Bryan Borges ,
  • 46', Mario Sergio , Alef Manga ,
  • 64', Gustavo Barreto , JP ,
  • 65', Emerson Negueba , Thayllon ,
  • 65', Anderson Leite 🟨,
  • 75', Anderson Leite , Ramon Martinez ,
  • 76', Marlon Douglas , Marcelinho ,
  • 80', Cleber , Hygor ,
  • 81', Joao Vitor , Mendes ,
  • 82', Vinicius Faria , Denner ,
  • 90+2', Luan Freitas 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Avaí
54.5%
Draw
27.1%
Paysandu
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 27.3% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 25.8% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Avaí - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.7)
    3.41
    (3.24)
    5.09
    (4.27)
    7.3%
    (13.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Avaí - Paysandu?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Avaí (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Avaí will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Avaí is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.4:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Paysandu were as follows:
    22.08.2024 Avaí - Paysandu 1:0
    03.05.2024 Paysandu - Avaí 0:0
    Latest results of Avaí
    17.06.2025 Volta Redonda - Avaí 1:1
    07.06.2025 Avaí - CRB Maceio 1:0
    31.05.2025 Coritiba - Avaí 2:1
    24.05.2025 Avaí - Chapecoense 2:1
    Latest results of Paysandu
    30.06.2025 Paysandu - Ferroviária 2:1
    21.06.2025 Remo - Paysandu 0:1
    13.06.2025 Paysandu - Botafogo SP 1:0
    06.06.2025 Cuiabá - Paysandu 1:0
    02.06.2025 Paysandu - Criciúma 0:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1892725:18729
    5Remo1878321:16529
    6Cuiaba1884622:21128
    7Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    8Criciuma1875622:17526
    9CRB1974820:18225
    10Avai1867521:20125
    11Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    12Operario-PR1965821:20123
    13Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG18621018:24-620
    16Ferroviaria1948718:22-420
    17Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    18Amazonas1846817:24-718
    19Volta Redonda1846812:20-818
    20Botafogo SP1846812:22-1018

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )