Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 5
- Referee: Vollkopf P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (296/359) | 90% (472/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (296/359) | 90% (472/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (36/61) | 58% (23/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (78/114) | 79% (119/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 100% (5/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Thiaguinho ⚽,
- 43', Ramon Martinez ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
- 44', 1 - 1, Reverson ⚽, Matheus Vargas (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Douglas Baggio ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
- 60', Leandro Vilela 🟥,
- 64', Hayner 🟨,
- 67', Matheus Vargas ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
- 67', Benitez J. ↓, Nicolas ↑,
- 68', Breno Herculano ↓, Mikael ↑,
- 68', Hayner ↓, Willian Bahia ↑,
- 78', Borasi B. ↓, Eliel ↑,
- 78', Rossi ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
- 81', Thiaguinho ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 81', Danielzinho ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 87', Rafinha 🟨,
- 90+5', Vinicius Barata 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu
45.3% | Draw
30.9% | CRB Maceio
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Paysandu - CRB Maceio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.79) |
3.02 ↓
(3.64) |
3.94 ↓
(4.19) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Paysandu - CRB Maceio?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). CRB will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 2 - 50%). CRB (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 0.
- Recent matches Paysandu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- CRB is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Paysandu will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:18 (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against CRB Maceio?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CRB Maceio won against Paysandu?
CRB Maceio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - CRB Maceio were as follows:
04.10.2024
CRB Maceio
-
Paysandu
3:2
18.06.2024
Paysandu
-
CRB Maceio
1:1
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
| 20 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
