Result
3:1
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 9
- Referee: Santos Sa Junior F. A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (504/562) | 83% (276/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (504/562) | 83% (276/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (42/67) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (140/171) | 68% (63/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -1.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Andre Lima ⚽,
- 16', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Nathan Fogaca ⚽, Marlon (A),
- 41', Matheus Vargas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Willian Farias ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
- 51', Dantas 🟨,
- 53', Dudu Vieira ↓, Reverson ↑,
- 59', Pablo Dyego ↓, Waguininho ↑,
- 59', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Nathan Fogaca ⚽,
- 65', Leandro Vilela ↓, Luan Freitas ↑,
- 65', Borasi B. ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 74', Nicolas ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Nathan Fogaca ⚽,
- 85', Marlon ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 85', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
59.9% | Draw
25.5% | Paysandu
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.6) |
3.67 ↑
(3.57) |
6.42 ↑
(5.93) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
Grêmio Novorizontino will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Novorizontino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Paysandu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Novorizontino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Novorizontino is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
Cesar Martins
(Injury)
Leo Tocantins
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
Robson
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paysandu: Borasi B.
(Thigh Injury)
Delvalle P.
(Ankle Injury)
Dudu Vieira
(Ankle Injury)
Edinho
(Injury)
Kevyn
(Knee Injury)
Novillo J.
(Injury)
Ramon Martinez
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Edilson
(Injury)
Marlon Douglas
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Paysandu?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu were as follows:
16.11.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Paysandu
1:1
29.07.2024
Paysandu
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:3
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
