Grêmio Novorizontino vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu
Result
3:1
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 9
  • Referee: Santos Sa Junior F. A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.64
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
90% (504/562)83% (276/332)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.431.21
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
125
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
86
Passes
90% (504/562)83% (276/332)
Long passes
63% (42/67)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
82% (140/171)68% (63/93)
Crosses
26% (7/27)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.740.79
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
68
Tackles
100% (10/10)100% (10/10)
Duels won
3334
Clearances
940
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.211.43
Goals prevented
0.21-1.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Andre Lima ,
  • 16', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Nathan Fogaca , Marlon (A),
  • 41', Matheus Vargas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Willian Farias , Luis Oyama ,
  • 51', Dantas 🟨,
  • 53', Dudu Vieira , Reverson ,
  • 59', Pablo Dyego , Waguininho ,
  • 59', Matheus Frizzo , Ruiz O. ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Nathan Fogaca ,
  • 65', Leandro Vilela , Luan Freitas ,
  • 65', Borasi B. , Marcelinho ,
  • 74', Nicolas , Benitez J. ,
  • 82', 3 - 1, Nathan Fogaca ,
  • 85', Marlon , Bruno Jose ,
  • 85', Rodrigo Soares , Igor Formiga ,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
59.9%
Draw
25.5%
Paysandu
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 26.1% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 25% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.6)
    3.67
    (3.57)
    6.42
    (5.93)
    6.4%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: Grêmio Novorizontino will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Novorizontino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Paysandu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Novorizontino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Novorizontino is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive) Cesar Martins (Injury) Leo Tocantins (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive) Robson (Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Borasi B. (Thigh Injury) Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Dudu Vieira (Ankle Injury) Edinho (Injury) Kevyn (Knee Injury) Novillo J. (Injury) Ramon Martinez (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Edilson (Injury) Marlon Douglas (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu 1:1
    29.07.2024 Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:3
    Latest results of Paysandu
    21.05.2025 Bahia - Paysandu 4:0
    18.05.2025 Paysandu - Goiás 0:0
    11.05.2025 Remo - Paysandu 1:1
    07.05.2025 Paysandu - Remo 2:3
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2389630:23733
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17Amazonas24591025:34-924
    18Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    19America MG23641323:32-922
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )