Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.97 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 28 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 15.38% (2/13) | 3.33% (1/30) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.67% (29/30) | 84.62% (11/13) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.63 | 47.37 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 01:42, Klingberg C. (2 min),
- 03:13, Forsberg C. (2 min),
- 17:04, Karvinen R. (2 min),
- 18:28, Pelli A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 11:00, 1 - 0, Zetterberg L. (G), Nieminen D. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:20, 1 - 1, Looke J. (G), Jasek L. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
- 16:43, Kucerik R. (2 min),
- 17:17, 2 - 1, Stapley B. (G), Kousa M. (A), Bartosak P. (A2)
Chances of winning
Pelicans
27.1% | Draw
23.4% | Ilves
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-4%)
Pelicans - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↓
(3.59) |
3.94 ↓
(3.98) |
1.88
(1.88) |
7.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.
- Recent performances by Pelicans have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ilves is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ilves is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 43:63. (average 2.2:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 2.3:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Ilves?
Pelicans has won 8 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Pelicans?
Ilves has won 13 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - Ilves were as follows:
03.02.2026
Ilves
-
Pelicans
3:0
25.11.2025
Ilves
-
Pelicans
3:0
19.09.2025
Pelicans
-
Ilves
2:3
11.03.2025
Ilves
-
Pelicans
4:2
19.02.2025
Pelicans
-
Ilves
2:1
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
