Result
3:0
03/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 1.33 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.11% (3/27) | 0% (0/15) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (15/15) | 92.31% (24/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 65.31 | 34.69 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 00:12, Pelli A. (2 min),
- 12:33, Falk H. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 05:42, Falk H. (2 min),
- 19:35, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (3 - 0)
- 01:13, 1 - 0, Henman L. (G), Klingberg C. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
- 07:38, (2 min),
- 08:25, Lind O. (2 min),
- 08:50, 2 - 0, Johansson S. (G), Henman L. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
- 16:10, Vanderbeck A. (2 min),
- 19:38, 3 - 0, Torok M. (G), Bjorkqvist K. (A),
Chances of winning
Ilves
56.5% | Draw
22.5% | Pelicans
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Ilves - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.66) |
4.1 ↓
(4.17) |
4.43 ↑
(4.35) |
7.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Ilves - Pelicans?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.
- Ilves is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pelicans is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Pelicans has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ilves is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 61:48. (average 3.1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 3:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Pelicans?
Ilves has won 12 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Ilves?
Pelicans has won 8 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Pelicans were as follows:
25.11.2025
Ilves
-
Pelicans
3:0
19.09.2025
Pelicans
-
Ilves
2:3
11.03.2025
Ilves
-
Pelicans
4:2
19.02.2025
Pelicans
-
Ilves
2:1
27.09.2024
Pelicans
-
Ilves
3:4
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
