Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.97 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 28 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 15.38% (2/13) | 3.33% (1/30) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.67% (29/30) | 84.62% (11/13) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.63 | 47.37 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 01:42, Klingberg C. (2 min),
- 03:13, Forsberg C. (2 min),
- 17:04, Karvinen R. (2 min),
- 18:28, Pelli A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 11:00, 1 - 0, Zetterberg L. (G), Nieminen D. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:20, 1 - 1, Looke J. (G), Jasek L. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
- 16:43, Kucerik R. (2 min),
- 17:17, 2 - 1, Stapley B. (G), Kousa M. (A), Bartosak P. (A2)
Chances of winning
Pelicans
27.1% | Draw
23.4% | Ilves
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-4%)
Pelicans - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↓
(3.59) |
3.94 ↓
(3.98) |
1.88
(1.88) |
7.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.
- Recent performances by Pelicans have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ilves is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ilves is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 43:63. (average 2.2:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 2.3:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Ilves?
Pelicans has won 8 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Pelicans?
Ilves has won 13 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - Ilves were as follows:
03.02.2026
Ilves
-
Pelicans
3:0
25.11.2025
Ilves
-
Pelicans
3:0
19.09.2025
Pelicans
-
Ilves
2:3
11.03.2025
Ilves
-
Pelicans
4:2
19.02.2025
Pelicans
-
Ilves
2:1
Latest results of Pelicans
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |
