Result
2:3 OT
19/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.86 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.76% (2/17) | 10% (3/30) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90% (27/30) | 88.24% (15/17) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 49.09 | 50.91 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 00:25, 0 - 1, Johansson S. (G), Jasek L. (A), Torok M. (A2)
- 04:26, 0 - 2, Mantykivi M. (G), Engberg T. (A), Svejkovsky L. (A2)
- 06:10, 1 - 2, Nieminen D. (G), Johannesen J. (A), Lind O. (A2)
- 11:39, Jasek L. (2 min),
- 15:05, Kucerik R. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 00:20, Jasek L. (2 min),
- 03:18, Soini S. (2 min),
- 06:06, Kayhko O. (2 min),
- 13:08, (2 min),
- 19:37, Hirvonen K. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 05:02, 2 - 2, Jurgens C. (G), Lind O. (A), Hirvonen K. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 02:28, 2 - 3, Mantykivi M. (G),
Chances of winning
Pelicans
27.9% | Draw
22.6% | Ilves
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pelicans's form might have worsened.Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pelicans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pelicans - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↑
(2.6) |
4.16 ↓
(4.5) |
1.89 ↓
(2.24) |
6%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Pelicans - Ilves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ilves will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ilves could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 51:59. (average 2.6:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 2.7:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Ilves?
Pelicans has won 8 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Pelicans?
Ilves has won 10 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - Ilves were as follows:
11.03.2025
Ilves
-
Pelicans
4:2
19.02.2025
Pelicans
-
Ilves
2:1
27.09.2024
Pelicans
-
Ilves
3:4
21.09.2024
Ilves
-
Pelicans
6:3
09.02.2024
Pelicans
-
Ilves
1:7
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
