Result
4:2
11/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 2.14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 9.09% (2/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.91% (20/22) | 84% (21/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.06 | 48.94 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 18:14, 1 - 0, Klingberg C. (G), Pelli A. (A), Nyberg J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:13, Klingberg C. (2 min),
- 04:10, Falk H. (2 min),
- 08:16, Friman N. (2 min),
- 10:18, 1 - 1, Kumpulainen R. (G), Kangasniemi I. (A), Kumpula J. (A2)
- 10:35, 2 - 1, Johansson S. (G), Ratinen S. (A),
- 13:01, 3 - 1, Kononen J. (G), Latvala O. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:05, 4 - 1, Looke J. (G), Latvala O. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
- 12:33, 4 - 2, Vilen E. (G), Luhanka E. (A),
Chances of winning
Ilves
50.9% | Draw
22.9% | Pelicans
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Ilves - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.83) |
4.12 ↑
(4.1) |
3.57 ↓
(3.7) |
6.6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Ilves - Pelicans?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Liiga (Relegation)).
- Ilves is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilves won 3.
- Recent matches Ilves is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Pelicans is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Pelicans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ilves will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ilves won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 56:51 (average 2.8:2.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ilves won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:22 (average 3:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Pelicans?
Ilves has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Ilves?
Pelicans has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Pelicans were as follows:
19.02.2025
Pelicans
-
Ilves
2:1
27.09.2024
Pelicans
-
Ilves
3:4
21.09.2024
Ilves
-
Pelicans
6:3
09.02.2024
Pelicans
-
Ilves
1:7
12.01.2024
Ilves
-
Pelicans
3:5
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
