Result
3:0
25/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 1.91 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.82% (3/34) | 0% (0/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (22/22) | 93.94% (31/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (0/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 11:20, 1 - 0, Palola O. (G), Engberg T. (A), Johansson S. (A2)
- 17:04, 2 - 0, Henman L. (G), Teuho-Markkola T. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 05:16, Rantakari O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 19:49, 3 - 0, Henman L. (G), Ratinen S. (A), Parikka J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ilves
63.3% | Draw
19.8% | Pelicans
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ilves - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.61) |
4.71 ↑
(4.6) |
5.62 ↑
(4.69) |
7.1%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.
- Ilves is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pelicans has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
- We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 58:51. (average 2.9:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 3:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Pelicans?
Ilves has won 11 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Ilves?
Pelicans has won 8 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Pelicans were as follows:
19.09.2025
Pelicans
-
Ilves
2:3
11.03.2025
Ilves
-
Pelicans
4:2
19.02.2025
Pelicans
-
Ilves
2:1
27.09.2024
Pelicans
-
Ilves
3:4
21.09.2024
Ilves
-
Pelicans
6:3
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | JYP | 28 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 108:84 | 55 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 31 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 105:85 | 53 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 32 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 84:95 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Jukurit | 32 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 73:85 | 42 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 32 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 67:103 | 40 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 31 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 76:87 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 31 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 96:106 | 36 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 29 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 63:96 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
