Result
2:1
15/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 17
- Referee: Markham-Jones B. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 0, Daley N. ⚽,
- 56', Digbeu N. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 0, Crole J. ⚽,
- 66', Daley N. ↓, Phillips I. ↑,
- 67', McGiveron D. ↓, Billington S. ↑,
- 69', Bell W. 🟨,
- 70', Baker A. ↓, Venables C. ↑,
- 78', Hall L. ↓, Lumeka L. ↑,
- 78', Lumeka L. ↓, Mendes L. ↑,
- 84', Dean H. ↓, Walls J. ↑,
- 84', Owen K. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 84', Wood N. ↓, Clay J. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Ibrahim O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pen-y-Bont
64.2% | Draw
22% | Bala Town
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pen-y-Bont's performance.Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pen-y-Bont that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Pen-y-Bont - Bala Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.56) |
4.2 ↑
(3.68) |
6.69 ↑
(5.66) |
8.3%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pen-y-Bont - Bala Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Pen-y-Bont will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 2.
- Recent performances by Pen-y-Bont have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bala Town's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pen-y-Bont may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Pen-y-Bont has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Pen-y-Bont is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Bala Town?
Pen-y-Bont has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bala Town won against Pen-y-Bont?
Bala Town has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Bala Town were as follows:
06.09.2025
Bala Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
0:0
19.04.2025
Bala Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:2
08.03.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Bala Town
3:2
26.10.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Bala Town
1:1
31.08.2024
Bala Town
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:2
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Latest results of Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 74:24 | 50 | 71 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58:34 | 24 | 56 |
| 3 | Colwyn Bay ✔ | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 43 |
| 4 | Barry ✔ | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Penybont ✔ | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 40 |
| 6 | Caernarfon ✔ | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 52:43 | 9 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Barry is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
