Result
5:4
29/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 18
- Referee: Owen T. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 2)
- 6', 1 - 0, Cumming J. ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, Crole J. ⚽,
- 9', 2 - 1, Forde S. ⚽,
- 20', 3 - 1, Davies J. ⚽,
- 29', 4 - 1, Davies J. ⚽,
- 45+4', 4 - 2, Davies M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ludvigsen K. ↓, Borge B. ↑,
- 48', 5 - 2, Davies J. ⚽,
- 54', Green C. ↓, Pritchard O. ↑,
- 54', Venables C. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
- 54', Daley N. ↓, Phillips I. ↑,
- 64', Davies J. 🟨,
- 64', Owen K. 🟨,
- 82', Davies J. ↓, Davies O. ↑,
- 83', Robles L. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
- 83', Edwards A. ↓, Nash R. ↑,
- 90+1', 5 - 3, Phillips I. ⚽,
- 90+4', 5 - 4, Pritchard O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Colwyn Bay 31.2% | Draw 26.7% | Pen-y-Bont 42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.98 ↓ (3.02) |
3.48 ↑ (3.31) |
2.21 ↑ (2.06) |
7.5% (11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Pen-y-Bont may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pen-y-Bont is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colwyn Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Colwyn Bay won against Pen-y-Bont?
Colwyn Bay has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Colwyn Bay?
Pen-y-Bont has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
27.09.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Colwyn Bay
1:0
16.03.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Colwyn Bay
5:0
03.02.2024
Colwyn Bay
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:2
25.11.2023
Colwyn Bay
-
Pen-y-Bont
2:1
09.09.2023
Pen-y-Bont
-
Colwyn Bay
0:1
Latest results of Colwyn Bay
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 55:15 | 40 | 47 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 40:21 | 19 | 40 |
| 3 | Penybont ✔ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41:30 | 11 | 30 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Barry | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 32:35 | -3 | 27 |
| 8 | Haverfordwest | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Bala | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 14:27 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry ✔ | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 27:37 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Flint ✔ | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 | Llanelli ✔ | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11:53 | -42 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
Briton Ferry is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )
Flint is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )
Llanelli is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )