Colwyn Bay vs Pen-y-Bont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Llanelian Road (Old Colwyn).

Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 26
Referee: Pratt N. (Wal)

Match Stats


Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	1
Corner kicks
6	3
Yellow cards
2	3
Red cards
0	1
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
8	4
Corner kicks
6	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Davies M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Hughes G. ⚽,
45+1', Moore A. 🟨,
45+2', Baker A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Daley N. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, Astles R. ⚽,
57', Baker A. ↓, Venables C. ↑,
59', Astles R. 🟨,
61', Borge B. 🟨,
61', Edwards A. ↓, Cumming J. ↑,
67', Green C. ↓, Cvetkovic A. ↑,
67', Woodiwiss J. ↓, Owen K. ↑,
69', Roberts E. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
69', Williams A. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
80', Williams N. 🟥,
86', 3 - 1, Davies J. ⚽,
88', Cann E. ↓, Phillips I. ↑,
90', Williams A. ↓, Kargbo I. ↑,

Chances of winning

Colwyn Bay
45.6%

Draw
26.1%

Pen-y-Bont
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colwyn Bay's performance.

Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pen-y-Bont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colwyn Bay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.36)	3.54 ↑ (3.37)	3.26 ↑ (2.66)	8.3% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Colwyn Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 2.
Recent form of Colwyn Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Pen-y-Bont's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Colwyn Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Colwyn Bay might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Colwyn Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2.7:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Colwyn Bay won against Pen-y-Bont?

Colwyn Bay has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Colwyn Bay?

Pen-y-Bont has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:

29.11.2025 Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont 5:4

27.09.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Colwyn Bay 1:0

16.03.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Colwyn Bay 5:0

03.02.2024 Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont 1:2

25.11.2023 Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont 2:1

Latest results of Colwyn Bay

13.02.2026 Colwyn Bay - The New Saints 0:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Barry Town United - Colwyn Bay 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay 4:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay 2:2 ✺

13.01.2026 The New Saints - Colwyn Bay 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Pen-y-Bont

14.02.2026 Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont 6:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town 0:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan 1:1 ✺

01.01.2026 Llanelli - Pen-y-Bont 0:1 ✺

Welsh Cymru Premier Table

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	TNS	27	22	2	3	72:21	51	68
2	Connahs Q	27	14	8	5	52:31	21	50
3	Penybont	27	11	7	9	37:41	-4	40
4	Caernarfon	27	10	9	8	49:37	12	39
5	Barry	27	10	9	8	37:27	10	39
6	Colwyn Bay	27	10	7	10	35:33	2	37

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