Pen-y-Bont vs Haverfordwest County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County
Result
2:1
07/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 12
  • Referee: Owen T. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
910
Corner Kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Fawcett B. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Fawcett B. , Jones O. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Crole J. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Kircough G. ,
  • 84', Baker A. 🟨,
  • 85', Owen K. , Jones J. ,
  • 86', Humphreys I. , Hughes W. ,

Chances of winning


Pen-y-Bont
63.8%
Draw
22.1%
Haverfordwest County
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 24% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7% 22.9% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pen-y-Bont's performance.
  • Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.61)
    4.21
    (3.83)
    6.61
    (4.84)
    7.6%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County?
  • Users Predictions: Pen-y-Bont will win (47 of 50 users predict this - 94%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.42%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pen-y-Bont will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 4.
    • Pen-y-Bont has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Haverfordwest's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Haverfordwest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pen-y-Bont is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Pen-y-Bont will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Haverfordwest County - Pen-y-Bont 0:1
    21.03.2025 Haverfordwest County - Pen-y-Bont 1:2
    01.02.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County 0:0
    03.12.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County 1:0
    17.09.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County 1:0
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Latest results of Haverfordwest County
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS13102139:102932
    2Penybont1382322:13926
    3Caernarfon1363430:21921
    4Connahs Q1263320:14621
    5Colwyn Bay1346314:9518
    6Barry1336416:17-115
    7Cardiff Metropolitan1336419:23-415
    8Bala1343610:19-915
    9Flint1242623:25-214
    10Briton Ferry1234517:20-313
    11Haverfordwest1232713:22-911
    12Llanelli1321107:37-307

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