Result
2:1
07/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 12
- Referee: Owen T. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Fawcett B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Fawcett B. ↓, Jones O. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Crole J. ⚽,
- 72', 2 - 1, Kircough G. ⚽,
- 84', Baker A. 🟨,
- 85', Owen K. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 86', Humphreys I. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pen-y-Bont
63.8% | Draw
22.1% | Haverfordwest County
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pen-y-Bont's performance.Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+4%)
Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.61) |
4.21 ↑
(3.83) |
6.61 ↑
(4.84) |
7.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County?
Users Predictions:
Pen-y-Bont will win
(47 of 50 users predict this - 94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.42% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pen-y-Bont will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 4.
- Pen-y-Bont has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Haverfordwest's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Haverfordwest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pen-y-Bont is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Pen-y-Bont will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Haverfordwest County?
Pen-y-Bont has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Haverfordwest County won against Pen-y-Bont?
Haverfordwest County has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County were as follows:
08.08.2025
Haverfordwest County
-
Pen-y-Bont
0:1
21.03.2025
Haverfordwest County
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:2
01.02.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Haverfordwest County
0:0
03.12.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Haverfordwest County
1:0
17.09.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Haverfordwest County
1:0
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Latest results of Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:10 | 29 | 32 |
| 2 | Penybont | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Barry | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bala | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 9 | Flint | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7:37 | -30 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
