Penafiel vs Vizela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
512
Shots on target
25
Corner kicks
37
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
512
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
37
Corner kicks
37
Offsides
21
Free kicks
814
Throw ins
2034
Fouls
127

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Santos A. , Negrao G. ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Sampaio J. ,
  • 64', Rodrigues D. , Sery J. ,
  • 64', Kebe I. , Reko ,
  • 68', Morschel H. 🟨,
  • 73', Pereira B. , lano Imbene ,
  • 74', Pedro Sa , Alves R. ,
  • 76', Ramos R. , Loppy D. ,
  • 84', Morschel H. , Thio ,
  • 85', Lacava M. , Bastunov A. ,
  • 90+1', Moha Moukhliss , Ivanov H. ,
  • 90+2', Thio 🟨,
  • 90+3', Moreira C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Penafiel
30.7%
Draw
29.8%
Vizela
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 27.8% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 27.5% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Penafiel - Vizela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (3.2)
    3.1
    (3.3)
    2.34
    (2.1)
    8.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Penafiel - Vizela?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Vizela will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 3.
    • Recent performances by Penafiel have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vizela is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Vizela were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Vizela - Penafiel 1:3
    26.01.2025 Penafiel - Vizela 1:1
    18.08.2024 Vizela - Penafiel 1:2
    15.10.2022 Penafiel - Vizela 3:4
    Latest results of Penafiel
    15.03.2026 Feirense - Penafiel 1:0
    07.03.2026 Penafiel - Farense 1:1
    01.03.2026 Penafiel - Benfica B 1:1
    22.02.2026 Felgueiras - Penafiel 0:0
    16.02.2026 Penafiel - Lusitânia 2:0
    Latest results of Vizela
    15.03.2026 Vizela - Lusitânia 4:3
    08.03.2026 Felgueiras - Vizela 0:1
    28.02.2026 Vizela - Chaves 3:2
    20.02.2026 Leixões - Vizela 1:2
    15.02.2026 Vizela - Marítimo 0:3
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

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