Penafiel vs Vizela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
512
Shots on target
25
Corner kicks
37
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
512
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
37
Corner kicks
37
Offsides
21
Free kicks
814
Throw ins
2034
Fouls
127

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Santos A. , Negrao G. ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Sampaio J. ,
  • 64', Rodrigues D. , Sery J. ,
  • 64', Kebe I. , Reko ,
  • 68', Morschel H. 🟨,
  • 73', Pereira B. , lano Imbene ,
  • 74', Pedro Sa , Alves R. ,
  • 76', Ramos R. , Loppy D. ,
  • 84', Morschel H. , Thio ,
  • 85', Lacava M. , Bastunov A. ,
  • 90+1', Moha Moukhliss , Ivanov H. ,
  • 90+2', Thio 🟨,
  • 90+3', Moreira C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Penafiel
30.7%
Draw
29.8%
Vizela
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 27.8% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 27.5% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Penafiel - Vizela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (3.2)
    3.1
    (3.3)
    2.34
    (2.1)
    8.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Penafiel - Vizela?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Vizela will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 3.
    • Recent performances by Penafiel have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vizela is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Vizela were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Vizela - Penafiel 1:3
    26.01.2025 Penafiel - Vizela 1:1
    18.08.2024 Vizela - Penafiel 1:2
    15.10.2022 Penafiel - Vizela 3:4
    Latest results of Penafiel
    15.03.2026 Feirense - Penafiel 1:0
    07.03.2026 Penafiel - Farense 1:1
    01.03.2026 Penafiel - Benfica B 1:1
    22.02.2026 Felgueiras - Penafiel 0:0
    16.02.2026 Penafiel - Lusitânia 2:0
    Latest results of Vizela
    15.03.2026 Vizela - Lusitânia 4:3
    08.03.2026 Felgueiras - Vizela 0:1
    28.02.2026 Vizela - Chaves 3:2
    20.02.2026 Leixões - Vizela 1:2
    15.02.2026 Vizela - Marítimo 0:3
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo32206649:252466
    2Academico Viseu32167956:332355
    3Torreense311551137:30750
    4Leiria321310950:43749
    5Vizela321391038:36248
    6Feirense321291134:36-245
    7Benfica B3211111043:40344
    8Leixoes321351442:53-1144
    9Lusitania FC3211101142:48-643
    10FC Porto B311261337:42-542
    11Chaves321261438:37142
    12Sporting CP B321321741:33841
    13Felgueiras3110101128:35-740
    14SC Farense321091330:35-539
    15Penafiel311081333:34-138
    16Portimonense321061637:48-1136
    17Pacos Ferreira328111331:46-1535
    18Oliveirense327101531:43-1231

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