St. George Illawarra Dragons vs Penrith Panthers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers
Result
20:40
06/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3

Match Stats

Tries
47
Conversion Goals
26
Conversion Goal Attempts
47
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
5086
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
168204
Metres Run With Ball
12631863

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 22)
  • 6', Jenkins T. (Try),
  • 7', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 16', Alamoti P. (Try),
  • 18', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Flanagan K. (Try),
  • 22', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', McLean C. (Try),
  • 35', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', Cleary N. (Try),
  • 39', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (14 - 18)
  • 48', Allan C. (Try),
  • 49', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
  • 54', Sloan T. (Try),
  • 55', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
  • 61', Papali'i I. (Try),
  • 62', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Smith L. (Try),
  • 68', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Su'A J. (Try),
  • 76', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Alamoti P. (Try),
  • 80+1', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


St. George Illawarra Dragons
17.4%
Draw
3.3%
Penrith Panthers
79.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 3.6% 70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 3.6% 70.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Illawarra Dragons's form might have worsened.
  • Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrith Panthers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Illawarra Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrith Panthers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.42
    (3.6)
    26.92
    (26)
    1.17
    (1.31)
    7.5%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 47.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
  • What is the prediction for St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. St. George Illawarra will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Penrith will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 19:29.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • St. George Illawarra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Penrith is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 261:375. (average 15.4:22.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 149:201. (average 16.6:22.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers were as follows:
    28.07.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers 10:46
    01.06.2024 Penrith Panthers - St. George Illawarra Dragons 10:22
    04.06.2023 Penrith Panthers - St. George Illawarra Dragons 26:18
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2