St. George Illawarra Dragons vs Penrith Panthers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers
06/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


St. George Illawarra Dragons
19.2%
Draw
3.2%
Penrith Panthers
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 3.6% 70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 3.6% 70.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Illawarra Dragons's form might have worsened.
  • Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrith Panthers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Illawarra Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrith Panthers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.87
    (3.6)
    27.4
    (26)
    1.18
    (1.31)
    8.7%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 47.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Penrith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Penrith is the team to beat.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 261:375. (average 15.4:22.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 149:201. (average 16.6:22.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers were as follows:
    28.07.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers 10:46
    01.06.2024 Penrith Panthers - St. George Illawarra Dragons 10:22
    04.06.2023 Penrith Panthers - St. George Illawarra Dragons 26:18
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders23194630:44444
    2Melbourne Storm23176657:42940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs23167528:39038
    4Brisbane Broncos23149650:49434
    5Cronulla Sharks23149575:48434
    6New Zealand Warriors23149491:46934
    7Penrith Panthers231210536:44931
    8Sydney Roosters231211617:51530
    9Dolphins231112659:57228
    10Manly Sea Eagles231112528:50828
    11Wests Tigers23914449:57624
    12Parramatta Eels23914436:56824
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57224
    14NQ Cowboys24914538:68423
    15St. George Illawarra Dragons23815478:58822
    16Newcastle Knights23617328:57218
    17Gold Coast Titans23518484:69116

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )