Penya Independent vs Collerense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Penya Independent - Collerense
Result
4:3
05/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, ,
  • 30', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 47', 3 - 0, ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, ,
  • 78', 3 - 2, ,
  • 88', 3 - 3, ,
  • 89', 4 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Penya Independent
61.4%
Draw
23.3%
Collerense
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 23.4% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 22.7% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Penya Independent - Collerense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.48)
    3.89
    (3.89)
    5.95
    (6.02)
    10%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Penya Independent is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Collerense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Penya Independent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Penya Independent is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Penya Independent won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Penya Independent won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penya Independent - Collerense were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Collerense - Penya Independent 3:1
    08.04.2023 Collerense - Penya Independent 0:1
    11.12.2022 Penya Independent - Collerense 3:0
    Latest results of Penya Independent
    Latest results of Collerense
    22.03.2025 Constancia - Collerense 1:1
    15.03.2025 Collerense - Porreres 2:1
    09.03.2025 Binissalem - Collerense 1:0
    15.02.2025 Collerense - Migjorn 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2