Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Alarcon M. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 1, Pons A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Poblense
50.9% | Draw
28.3% | Penya Independent
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poblense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Poblense - Penya Independent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.68) |
3.22 ↓
(3.43) |
4.38 ↓
(4.68) |
9.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Poblense in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Penya Independent is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Poblense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Poblense have a series of guest games.
- In this match Poblense is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Poblense to win the game is with odds 1.74.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Poblense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Poblense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Poblense won against Penya Independent?
Poblense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penya Independent won against Poblense?
Penya Independent has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Poblense - Penya Independent were as follows:
30.11.2024
Penya Independent
-
Poblense
1:0
07.05.2023
Penya Independent
-
Poblense
1:1
04.03.2023
Poblense
-
Penya Independent
2:1
30.10.2022
Penya Independent
-
Poblense
2:2
Latest results of Poblense
Latest results of Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 78:16 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Manacor | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 59:27 | 32 | 67 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 57 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 49 |
| 5 | Constancia | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 6 | Mercadal | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 40 |
| 8 | Formentera | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | Santanyi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 33 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Binissalem | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 20:27 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31:44 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Portmany | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 19:37 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 22 |
| 17 | Collerense | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 16 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24:54 | -30 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
