Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Alarcon M. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 1, Pons A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Poblense
50.9% | Draw
28.3% | Penya Independent
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poblense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Poblense - Penya Independent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.68) |
3.22 ↓
(3.43) |
4.38 ↓
(4.68) |
9.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Poblense in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Penya Independent is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Poblense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Poblense have a series of guest games.
- In this match Poblense is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Poblense to win the game is with odds 1.74.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Poblense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Poblense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Poblense won against Penya Independent?
Poblense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penya Independent won against Poblense?
Penya Independent has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Poblense - Penya Independent were as follows:
30.11.2024
Penya Independent
-
Poblense
1:0
07.05.2023
Penya Independent
-
Poblense
1:1
04.03.2023
Poblense
-
Penya Independent
2:1
30.10.2022
Penya Independent
-
Poblense
2:2
Latest results of Poblense
Latest results of Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 19 |
| 2 | Pena Deportiva | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Manacor | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Constancia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Mercadal | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Platges de Calvia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Santanyi | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Cardassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Formentera | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Alcudia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:17 | -11 | 6 |
| 13 | Collerense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Felanitx | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Son Cladera | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Binissalem | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
| 17 | Portmany | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
