Pergolettese vs Novara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Pergolettese - Novara
Result
1:2
15/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
37
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
02
Corner Kicks
21
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Calcagni R. ,
  • 25', Di Munno A. 🟨,
  • 27', Tonoli D. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Careccia S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Tonoli D. 🟨,
  • 54', Bertoncini D. 🟨,
  • 56', Di Biase G. , Bignami R. ,
  • 71', Gerardini F. , Ganz S. ,
  • 71', Di Munno A. , Akpa-Chukwu H. ,
  • 71', Bertoncini D. , Maressa T. ,
  • 79', Morosini L. , Palsson A. ,
  • 80', Stante F. , Abubakar S. ,
  • 85', Basso G. , Anzolin M. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Ganz S. ,
  • 89', Ganz S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Albertini A. , Patane N. ,
  • 90+2', Arini M. , Anelli N. ,

Chances of winning


Pergolettese
35.8%
Draw
34.5%
Novara
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 30.4% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 30% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Pergolettese - Novara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.33)
    2.65
    (2.98)
    3.08
    (2.95)
    9.3%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 2.
    • Pergolettese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Novara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pergolettese - Novara were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Novara - Pergolettese 3:1
    24.03.2024 Pergolettese - Novara 1:1
    19.11.2023 Novara - Pergolettese 2:1
    02.04.2023 Novara - Pergolettese 1:2
    30.11.2022 Pergolettese - Novara 1:0
    Latest results of Pergolettese
    Latest results of Novara
    09.02.2025 Novara - Alcione 1:1
    03.02.2025 Pro Vercelli - Novara 1:0
    25.01.2025 Novara - Pro Patria 2:1
    17.01.2025 Lecco - Novara 1:1
    11.01.2025 Novara - Virtus Verona 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1