Pergolettese vs Novara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
01/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Lorenzini F. ,
  • 26', Alberti T. 🟨,
  • 36', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', D'Alessio L. 🟨,
  • 66', Antolini J. , Dore S. ,
  • 66', Corti N. , Sartori F. ,
  • 68', Dore S. 🟨,
  • 69', Tremolada M. 🟨,
  • 69', Lanini E. , Ledonne N. ,
  • 74', Pessolani G. , Tomaselli G. ,
  • 74', Tremolada M. , Ferrandino D. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Ferrandino D. ,
  • 85', Alberti T. , da Graca C. ,
  • 85', Ranieri R. , Cortese A. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Parker S. ,
  • 90', Parker S. , Benvenuto M. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, da Graca C. ,

Chances of winning


Pergolettese
37.4%
Draw
31%
Novara
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 29% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 29.6% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pergolettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Pergolettese - Novara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.16)
    3.01
    (3.15)
    2.95
    (3.2)
    7.3%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 1.
    • Recent form of Pergolettese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Novara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pergolettese - Novara were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Pergolettese - Novara 1:2
    05.10.2024 Novara - Pergolettese 3:1
    24.03.2024 Pergolettese - Novara 1:1
    19.11.2023 Novara - Pergolettese 2:1
    02.04.2023 Novara - Pergolettese 1:2
    Latest results of Pergolettese
    Latest results of Novara
    24.10.2025 Novara - Virtus Verona 1:1
    11.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Novara 0:0
    05.10.2025 Novara - Triestina 0:0
    28.09.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Novara 3:2
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza30226251:183372
    2Brescia30168643:212256
    3Trento301312545:311451
    4Renate30149740:261451
    5Lecco30148835:26950
    6Alcione Milano301461030:181248
    7Cittadella30138936:33347
    8Inter U23301012834:31342
    9Lumezzane3010101033:33040
    10Novara30718531:28339
    11Giana Erminio301091127:30-339
    12Pro Vercelli301151432:42-1038
    13AlbinoLeffe309101139:41-237
    14Ospitaletto307131031:32-134
    15Arzignano30971439:44-534
    16Pergolettese30881429:40-1132
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi30881427:48-2132
    18Virtus Verona303121527:44-1721
    19Pro Patria30391823:54-3118
    20Triestina30761732:44-124

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation