Cittadella vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Cittadella - Perugia
Result
0:2
18/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 30
  • Referee: Gualtieri M. (Ita)

Chances of winning


Cittadella
36.9%
Draw
31.9%
Perugia
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 31.9% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 31.1% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Cittadella - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.46)
    2.94
    (2.88)
    3.01
    (2.98)
    6.5%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cittadella - Perugia?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Perugia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).
    • Cittadella has the most likely position - 14 (13.32%), project points - 46, currently - 35, a small chance of relegated (13%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Perugia has the most likely position - 15 (13.73%), project points - 44, currently - 30, a chance of relegated (23%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 31, importance 38, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3.
    • Recent matches Cittadella is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Perugia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Perugia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Perugia were as follows:
    30.10.2022 Perugia - Cittadella 0:2
    Latest results of Cittadella
    11.03.2023 Cittadella - Palermo 3:3
    05.03.2023 SPAL - Cittadella 2:1
    01.03.2023 Cittadella - Brescia 0:0
    25.02.2023 Ternana - Cittadella 1:2
    18.02.2023 Cittadella - Reggina 3:2
    Latest results of Perugia
    01.03.2023 Perugia - Como 0:0
    24.02.2023 Pisa - Perugia 2:1
    18.02.2023 Perugia - Ternana 3:0
    11.02.2023 Ascoli - Perugia 1:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2