Result
2:1
05/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28
- Referee: Paterna D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
31.3% | Draw
33.4% | Perugia
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(2.75) |
2.81 ↓
(2.93) |
2.68 ↓
(2.72) |
6.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Perugia will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.4% – 68.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- Südtirol has the most likely position - 4 (17.48%), has project points - 58, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (80%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 15 (13.13%), has project points - 45, has currently - 30, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 33, small importance 29, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Südtirol is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Perugia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Perugia?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia were as follows:
16.10.2022
Perugia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:2
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
