Result
0:2
18/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 30
- Referee: Gualtieri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Cittadella
36.9% | Draw
31.9% | Perugia
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Cittadella - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.46) |
2.94 ↑
(2.88) |
3.01 ↑
(2.98) |
6.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cittadella - Perugia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Perugia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).
- Cittadella has the most likely position - 14 (13.32%), project points - 46, currently - 35, a small chance of relegated (13%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 15 (13.73%), project points - 44, currently - 30, a chance of relegated (23%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 31, importance 38, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3.
- Recent matches Cittadella is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Perugia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Perugia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.
- Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Perugia?
Cittadella has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Cittadella?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Perugia were as follows:
30.10.2022
Perugia
-
Cittadella
0:2
Latest results of Cittadella
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
