Result
0:2
18/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 30
- Referee: Gualtieri M. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Cittadella
36.9% | Draw
31.9% | Perugia
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Cittadella - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.46) |
2.94 ↑
(2.88) |
3.01 ↑
(2.98) |
6.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cittadella - Perugia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Perugia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).
- Cittadella has the most likely position - 14 (13.32%), project points - 46, currently - 35, a small chance of relegated (13%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 15 (13.73%), project points - 44, currently - 30, a chance of relegated (23%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 31, importance 38, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3.
- Recent matches Cittadella is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Perugia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Perugia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.
- Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Perugia?
Cittadella has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Cittadella?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Perugia were as follows:
30.10.2022
Perugia
-
Cittadella
0:2
Latest results of Cittadella
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
