Result
2:1
05/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28
- Referee: Paterna D. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige 31.3% | Draw 33.4% | Perugia 35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↑ (2.75) |
2.81 ↓ (2.93) |
2.68 ↓ (2.72) |
6.2% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Perugia will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.4% – 68.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- Südtirol has the most likely position - 4 (17.48%), has project points - 58, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (80%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 15 (13.13%), has project points - 45, has currently - 30, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 33, small importance 29, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Südtirol is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Perugia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Perugia?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia were as follows:
16.10.2022
Perugia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:2
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 38 |
| 2 | Monza | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Venezia | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | Palermo | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:13 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Cesena | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Modena | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:15 | 11 | 29 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 9 | Empoli | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 24 |
| 10 | Padova | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Avellino | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21:30 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Reggiana | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 24:29 | -5 | 20 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Spezia | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 | Bari | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:28 | -12 | 17 |
| 17 | Sudtirol | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Entella | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Mantova | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Pescara | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 23:35 | -12 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation