Result
2:1
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 33
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (321/405) | 83% (378/454) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (321/405) | 83% (378/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (82/127) | 68% (85/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 35% (6/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Lisbie K. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Connell L. ⚽, O'Keeffe C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Lisbie K. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 1, Cleary R. ⚽, O'Keeffe C. (A),
- 59', Phillips A. 🟨,
- 64', Gent G. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
- 74', Johnston C. 🟨,
- 77', Khela B. ↓, Sykut P. ↑,
- 78', McGoldrick D. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
- 83', Connell L. 🟨,
- 86', Frith D. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
- 87', Phillips A. ↓, Bland J. ↑,
- 87', Banks S. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnsley
50.8% | Draw
23.5% | Peterborough United
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnsley's performance.Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterborough United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barnsley - Peterborough United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.13) |
3.99 ↑
(3.53) |
3.64 ↑
(2.97) |
6.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Barnsley - Peterborough United?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Peterborough will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 60% – 90%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnsley will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Barnsley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Barnsley will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Peterborough United?
Barnsley has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Barnsley?
Peterborough United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Peterborough United were as follows:
06.12.2025
Peterborough United
-
Barnsley
0:1
19.08.2025
Peterborough United
-
Barnsley
0:1
21.04.2025
Barnsley
-
Peterborough United
1:1
29.12.2024
Peterborough United
-
Barnsley
1:3
29.12.2023
Peterborough United
-
Barnsley
2:2
Latest results of Barnsley
Latest results of Peterborough United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
