Birmingham City vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wembley Stadium (London).

EFL Trophy - Play Offs - Final
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Iceland	Viaplay
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	0.55
Ball Possession
75%	25%
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
9	4
Passes
84% (501/595)	52% (103/198)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	0.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.87	1.08
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
31	13
Through passes
0% (0/1)	50% (1/2)
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
84% (501/595)	52% (103/198)
Long passes
34% (16/47)	19% (12/64)
Passes in final third
67% (98/146)	30% (20/66)
Crosses
34% (11/32)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	0.48
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
80% (8/10)	91% (10/11)
Duels won
66	53
Clearances Total
20	48
Interceptions
13	6
Errors leading to shot
1	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.08	0.87
Goals prevented
-0.92	0.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Mills H. ⚽,
44', Dowell K. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Kyprianou H. ⚽, Jones R.J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Willumsson W. T. ↓, May A. ↑,
52', May A. 🟨,
57', Odoh A. 🟨,
64', Laird E. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
73', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
75', Mothersille M. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
78', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
86', Jones R.J. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
86', Davies B. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
90+1', Fernandez E. ↓, Katongo J. ↑,
90+11', Jutkiewicz L. 🟨,
90+12', Katongo J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Birmingham City
61.9%

Draw
21.4%

Peterborough United
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

21.5%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Birmingham City aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Birmingham City - Peterborough United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	4.33 ↑ (4.17)	5.57 ↑ (5.18)	8.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Peterborough United?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2.
Birmingham in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Peterborough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Birmingham is absolute favorite.
Our prediction for today's Birmingham to win the game is with odds 1.45.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.7:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Peterborough United?

Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Birmingham City?

Peterborough United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Peterborough United were as follows:

08.04.2025 Peterborough United - Birmingham City 1:2

28.09.2024 Birmingham City - Peterborough United 3:2

29.07.2023 Peterborough United - Birmingham City 3:2

Latest results of Birmingham City

08.04.2025 Peterborough United - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Birmingham City - Barnsley 6:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Birmingham City - Shrewsbury Town 4:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Northampton Town - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Peterborough United

08.04.2025 Peterborough United - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Peterborough United - Northampton Town 0:4 ✺

01.04.2025 Crawley Town - Peterborough United 3:4 ✺

29.03.2025 Reading - Peterborough United 3:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Peterborough United - Charlton Athletic 3:0 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/16-finals

1	Charlton	Leyton Orient	0 : 2
2	Burton	Stevenage	0 : 4
3	Wycombe	Swindon	1 : 2
4	Exeter	Birmingham	1 : 2
5	Chesterfield	Wigan	3 : 2
6	Rotherham	Tranmere	3 : 2
7	Blackpool	Aston Villa U21	1 : 2
8	Stockport County	Bradford City	2 : 3
9	Peterborough	Northampton	3 : 0
10	Walsall	Reading	2 : 1
11	Cheltenham	Cambridge Utd	2 : 1
12	Colchester	AFC Wimbledon	2 : 0
13	Doncaster	Port Vale	0 : 1
14	Wrexham	Crewe	1 : 0
15	Morecambe	Lincoln	0 : 1
16	Bolton	Huddersfield	3 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Leyton Orient	Stevenage	0 : 1
2	Swindon	Birmingham	1 : 2
3	Chesterfield	Rotherham	0 : 1
4	Aston Villa U21	Bradford City	1 : 3
5	Peterborough	Walsall	4 : 2
6	Cheltenham	Colchester	2 : 1
7	Port Vale	Wrexham	1 : 4
8	Lincoln	Bolton	0 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Stevenage	Birmingham	0 : 1
2	Rotherham	Bradford City	0 : 1
3	Peterborough	Cheltenham	3 : 2
4	Wrexham	Bolton	1 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Birmingham	Bradford City	2 : 1
2	Peterborough	Wrexham	3 : 2

Final

1

Birmingham

Peterborough

0 : 2