Crawley Town vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Crawley Town - Peterborough United
Result
3:4
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 40
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.812.46
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
84% (438/520)79% (257/325)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.812.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.582.74
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
3221
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
84% (438/520)79% (257/325)
Long passes
38% (24/63)35% (13/37)
Passes in final third
66% (96/146)67% (38/57)
Crosses
11% (1/9)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.86
Fouls
1211
Tackles
79% (11/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4551
Clearances Total
1538
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.741.58
Goals prevented
-1.26-1.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Quitirna A. , Kelly J. (A),
  • 18', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
  • 19', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Odoh A. , Poku K. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 2, Odoh A. ,
  • 33', 2 - 2, Kelly J. , Doyle K. (A),
  • 36', Quitirna A. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 3, Odoh A. , Poku K. (A),
  • 44', Odoh A. 🟨,
  • 44', Johnston C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Collins A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 3 - 3, Hepburn-Murphy R. ,
  • 63', Hughes S. , Katongo J. ,
  • 69', Steer J. 🟨,
  • 71', Collins A. , Susoho M. ,
  • 71', Mothersille M. , Hayes C. ,
  • 77', Kelly J. , Swan W. ,
  • 77', Camara P. , Adeyemo A. ,
  • 85', Poku K. , De Havilland R. ,
  • 89', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 3 - 4, Jones R.J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
33.7%
Draw
26.2%
Peterborough United
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 23.9% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 23.4% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Crawley Town - Peterborough United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.8)
    3.6
    (3.9)
    2.34
    (2.17)
    6.4%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Peterborough United?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Peterborough will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 15.2%64.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 0.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Crawley: Mukena J. (Inactive) Sandford R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Inactive) Forster H. (Injury) Holohan G. (Inactive) Showunmi T. (Inactive) Watson L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Peterborough: Susoho M. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1.6:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Peterborough United were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Peterborough United - Crawley Town 4:3
    23.01.2024 Peterborough United - Crawley Town 2:1
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two