Result
1:1
19/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (264/384) | 59% (156/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (264/384) | 59% (156/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (22/84) | 25% (16/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (61/124) | 54% (67/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Chauke K. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Webster C. ⚽, Shade T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Garbett M. 🟨,
- 58', Hayes C. ↓, Shofowoke B. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Leonard H. ⚽,
- 71', Cannon A. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
- 76', Kamara D. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
- 78', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 78', Moon J. ↓, Vancooten T. ↑,
- 78', Armer J. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
- 83', Garbett M. ↓, Khela B. ↑,
- 83', Lisbie K. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
- 90+8', Collins B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peterborough United
33.2% | Draw
28.5% | Burton Albion
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterborough United's form might have worsened.Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterborough United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burton Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peterborough United - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.31) |
3.28 ↓
(3.4) |
2.45 ↓
(2.74) |
6.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Burton will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 3.
- Recent form of Peterborough has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Burton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Johnston C.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Peterborough: O'Brien-Brady D.
(Ankle Injury)
Woods B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Evans G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Burton Albion?
Peterborough United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Peterborough United?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Burton Albion were as follows:
18.10.2025
Burton Albion
-
Peterborough United
0:1
01.01.2025
Burton Albion
-
Peterborough United
2:2
04.12.2024
Peterborough United
-
Burton Albion
0:1
09.03.2024
Burton Albion
-
Peterborough United
1:3
25.11.2023
Peterborough United
-
Burton Albion
4:0
Latest results of Peterborough United
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 43 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 81:38 | 43 | 94 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 43 | 25 | 10 | 8 | 80:44 | 36 | 85 |
| 3 | Bolton | 44 | 19 | 17 | 8 | 67:48 | 19 | 74 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 43 | 21 | 9 | 13 | 54:48 | 6 | 72 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 42 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 64:53 | 11 | 71 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 46:45 | 1 | 68 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 69:59 | 10 | 66 |
| 8 | Luton | 43 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 61:53 | 8 | 65 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 69:60 | 9 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 63:58 | 5 | 62 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 63:52 | 11 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 65:67 | -2 | 56 |
| 13 | Wigan | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 49:56 | -7 | 56 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 56 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 42 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 52:45 | 7 | 55 |
| 16 | Blackpool | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 52:65 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 62:62 | 0 | 52 |
| 18 | Burton | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 52 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 44 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 57:68 | -11 | 51 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 50:68 | -18 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 50:58 | -8 | 48 |
| 22 | Rotherham ✔ | 43 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 38:65 | -27 | 40 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 33:55 | -22 | 39 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 43 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 36:65 | -29 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
