CT United vs Philadelphia Union II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.281.06
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
53
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
23
Passes
65% (215/329)69% (260/378)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
2.281.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.881.81
Total shots
128
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
115
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free kicks
1522
Passes
65% (215/329)69% (260/378)
Long passes
27% (19/70)36% (31/86)
Passes in final third
54% (64/119)49% (40/81)
Crosses
31% (4/13)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.69
Throw ins
2526
Fouls
2215
Tackles
78% (18/23)88% (14/16)
Duels won
6162
Clearances
2117
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
1.811.88
Goals prevented
-0.190.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Caua Paixao , Monis A. (A),
  • 35', 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Davis III E. , Korzeniowski S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 2, Korzeniowski S. , Berthe M. (A),
  • 63', LeBlanc K. , Hasan N. ,
  • 63', Ferreira W. , Olivas S. ,
  • 66', Medranda J. 🟨,
  • 67', Tanyi B. , Applewhaite A. ,
  • 68', Caua Paixao , Kouonang H. ,
  • 68', Hauth R. , Van Hees R. ,
  • 76', Davis III E. , Benitez O. ,
  • 79', Koloniaris N. , Lacy D. ,
  • 79', Medranda J. , D’Ippolito D. ,

Chances of winning


CT United
45.9%
Draw
26.1%
Philadelphia Union II
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 23.3% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 23.8% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CT United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CT United's form might have worsened.
  • Philadelphia Union II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CT United than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CT United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • CT United - Philadelphia Union II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.68)
    3.5
    (3.91)
    3.26
    (4.05)
    9.6%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • CT United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Philadelphia II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Philadelphia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, CT United has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, CT United is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, CT United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CT United - Philadelphia Union II were as follows:
    15.03.2026 Philadelphia Union II - CT United 1:2
    Latest results of CT United
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II7502018:717
    2Philadelphia Union II7410210:614
    3Columbus Crew 28410313:1414
    4Toronto FC II7302213:811
    5New England Revolution II622027:610
    6Connecticut FC7200510:156
    7New York City II611134:106
    8Cincinnati 2610054:113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy8611025:821
    2Atlanta United 27401212:813
    3Orlando City B7230215:1712
    4Chattanooga7301313:1210
    5Chicago Fire II713126:910
    6Huntsville6211212:169
    7Carolina Core701339:145
    8Inter Miami II701248:184


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Real Monarchs6220212:910
    4Portland Timbers 2621215:810
    5Los Angeles FC 28212313:1810
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 28211413:169
    7Tacoma Defiance811158:136


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 28620020:822
    2Houston Dynamo 27610017:220
    3Minnesota 2740039:912
    4North Texas8221313:1211
    5Austin FC II621218:810
    6Sporting Kansas City II911169:246
    7Colorado Rapids 2700348:163


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy8611025:821
    2New York Red Bulls II7502018:717
    3Philadelphia Union II7410210:614
    4Columbus Crew 28410313:1414
    5Atlanta United 27401212:813
    6Orlando City B7230215:1712
    7Toronto FC II7302213:811
    8Chattanooga7301313:1210
    9New England Revolution II622027:610
    10Chicago Fire II713126:910
    11Huntsville6211212:169
    12Connecticut FC7200510:156
    13New York City II611134:106
    14Carolina Core701339:145
    15Inter Miami II701248:184
    16Cincinnati 2610054:113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 28620020:822
    2Houston Dynamo 27610017:220
    3Ventura County9321314:1314
    4San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    5Minnesota 2740039:912
    6North Texas8221313:1211
    7Real Monarchs6220212:910
    8Austin FC II621218:810
    9Portland Timbers 2621215:810
    10Los Angeles FC 28212313:1810
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 28211413:169
    12Tacoma Defiance811158:136
    13Sporting Kansas City II911169:246
    14Colorado Rapids 2700348:163

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)