Phoenix Rising vs Detroit City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ).

USL Championship
Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	1.51
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	8
Passes
83% (344/412)	85% (311/365)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	1.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.68	1.05
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
6	7
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
4	10
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
19	23
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
83% (344/412)	85% (311/365)
Long passes
46% (26/57)	62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
70% (52/74)	79% (84/106)
Crosses
38% (3/8)	19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.34	1.55
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
60% (9/15)	86% (6/7)
Duels won
42	34
Clearances Total
24	12
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.05	1.68
Goals prevented
-1.95	-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Williams R. 🟨,
15', Okello N. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Smith C. ⚽, Margaritha J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', Margaritha J. 🟨,
57', Sainte C. F. ↓, Scearce J. ↑,
57', Montgomery B. ↓, Walls C. ↑,
59', Rutz C. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
60', Adebayo-Smith J. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
69', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
69', Margaritha J. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
71', Villanueva A. ↓, Doner M. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Avayevu H. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
79', Avayevu H. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Smith D. ⚽, Williams R. (A),
89', 2 - 2, Smith D. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Cedeno J. ⚽, Chapman J. (A),
90+3', Cedeno J. ↓, Wiedt S. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Phoenix Rising
40.9%

Draw
28.9%

Detroit City
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Rising's form might have worsened.

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Phoenix Rising - Detroit City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.79)	3.18 ↓ (3.53)	3.05 ↓ (4.21)	8.6% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Phoenix Rising will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Detroit City?

Phoenix Rising has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Detroit City won against Phoenix Rising?

Detroit City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Detroit City were as follows:

11.05.2024 Detroit City - Phoenix Rising 1:1

16.09.2023 Phoenix Rising - Detroit City 5:0

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

06.04.2025 San Antonio - Phoenix Rising 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 3:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Phoenix Rising - Rhode Island 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 4:4 ✺

08.03.2025 Phoenix Rising - Tulsa 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Detroit City

05.04.2025 Detroit City - Monterey Bay 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Louisville City - Detroit City 2:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Detroit City - Birmingham Legion 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Detroit City 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Miami - Detroit City 0:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

Main

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )