Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 1.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
83% (344/412) | 85% (311/365) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 1.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.68 | 1.05 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 23 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
83% (344/412) | 85% (311/365) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (26/57) | 62% (28/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (52/74) | 79% (84/106) |
Crosses |
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38% (3/8) | 19% (5/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.34 | 1.55 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 86% (6/7) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 34 |
Clearances Total |
---|
24 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.05 | 1.68 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.95 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Williams R. 🟨,
- 15', Okello N. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Smith C. ⚽, Margaritha J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', Margaritha J. 🟨,
- 57', Sainte C. F. ↓, Scearce J. ↑,
- 57', Montgomery B. ↓, Walls C. ↑,
- 59', Rutz C. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
- 60', Adebayo-Smith J. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
- 69', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 69', Margaritha J. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
- 71', Villanueva A. ↓, Doner M. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Avayevu H. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
- 79', Avayevu H. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Smith D. ⚽, Williams R. (A),
- 89', 2 - 2, Smith D. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Cedeno J. ⚽, Chapman J. (A),
- 90+3', Cedeno J. ↓, Wiedt S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Phoenix Rising 40.9% | Draw 28.9% | Detroit City 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Rising's form might have worsened.Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Phoenix Rising - Detroit City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↑ (1.79) |
3.18 ↓ (3.53) |
3.05 ↓ (4.21) |
8.6% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Phoenix Rising will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Detroit City?
Phoenix Rising has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Detroit City won against Phoenix Rising?
Detroit City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Detroit City were as follows:
11.05.2024
Detroit City
-
Phoenix Rising
1:1
16.09.2023
Phoenix Rising
-
Detroit City
5:0
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
Latest results of Detroit City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )