Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (344/412) | 85% (311/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (344/412) | 85% (311/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 62% (28/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (52/74) | 79% (84/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.55 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 34 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.95 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Williams R. 🟨,
- 15', Okello N. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Smith C. ⚽, Margaritha J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', Margaritha J. 🟨,
- 57', Sainte C. F. ↓, Scearce J. ↑,
- 57', Montgomery B. ↓, Walls C. ↑,
- 59', Rutz C. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
- 60', Adebayo-Smith J. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
- 69', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 69', Margaritha J. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
- 71', Villanueva A. ↓, Doner M. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Avayevu H. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
- 79', Avayevu H. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Smith D. ⚽, Williams R. (A),
- 89', 2 - 2, Smith D. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Cedeno J. ⚽, Chapman J. (A),
- 90+3', Cedeno J. ↓, Wiedt S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Phoenix Rising
40.9% | Draw
28.9% | Detroit City
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Rising's form might have worsened.Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Phoenix Rising - Detroit City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.79) |
3.18 ↓
(3.53) |
3.05 ↓
(4.21) |
8.6%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Phoenix Rising will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Detroit City?
Phoenix Rising has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Detroit City won against Phoenix Rising?
Detroit City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Detroit City were as follows:
11.05.2024
Detroit City
-
Phoenix Rising
1:1
16.09.2023
Phoenix Rising
-
Detroit City
5:0
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
Latest results of Detroit City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 47 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 30 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 27 |
| 6 | Detroit | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 25 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15:20 | -5 | 21 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:23 | 13 | 39 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29:16 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 28 |
| 4 | El Paso | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32:27 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 | Orange County SC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 25 |
| 8 | Lexington | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 23 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16:37 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
