Phoenix Rising vs Detroit City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.51
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
83% (344/412)85% (311/365)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.05
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1923
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
83% (344/412)85% (311/365)
Long passes
46% (26/57)62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
70% (52/74)79% (84/106)
Crosses
38% (3/8)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.341.55
Fouls
1316
Tackles
60% (9/15)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4234
Clearances Total
2412
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.051.68
Goals prevented
-1.95-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Williams R. 🟨,
  • 15', Okello N. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Smith C. , Margaritha J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 50', Margaritha J. 🟨,
  • 57', Sainte C. F. , Scearce J. ,
  • 57', Montgomery B. , Walls C. ,
  • 59', Rutz C. , Morris B. ,
  • 60', Adebayo-Smith J. , Smith D. ,
  • 69', Cabral R. , Johnson D. ,
  • 69', Margaritha J. , Rivera D. ,
  • 71', Villanueva A. , Doner M. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Avayevu H. , Johnson D. (A),
  • 79', Avayevu H. , Formella D. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Smith D. , Williams R. (A),
  • 89', 2 - 2, Smith D. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Cedeno J. , Chapman J. (A),
  • 90+3', Cedeno J. , Wiedt S. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
40.9%
Draw
28.9%
Detroit City
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 26.2% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 27.1% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Rising's form might have worsened.
  • Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Phoenix Rising - Detroit City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.79)
    3.18
    (3.53)
    3.05
    (4.21)
    8.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Phoenix Rising will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Detroit City were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Detroit City - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    16.09.2023 Phoenix Rising - Detroit City 5:0
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of Detroit City
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)