Phoenix Rising vs Detroit City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.51
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
83% (344/412)85% (311/365)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.05
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1923
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
83% (344/412)85% (311/365)
Long passes
46% (26/57)62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
70% (52/74)79% (84/106)
Crosses
38% (3/8)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.341.55
Fouls
1316
Tackles
60% (9/15)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4234
Clearances Total
2412
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.051.68
Goals prevented
-1.95-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Williams R. 🟨,
  • 15', Okello N. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Smith C. , Margaritha J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 50', Margaritha J. 🟨,
  • 57', Sainte C. F. , Scearce J. ,
  • 57', Montgomery B. , Walls C. ,
  • 59', Rutz C. , Morris B. ,
  • 60', Adebayo-Smith J. , Smith D. ,
  • 69', Cabral R. , Johnson D. ,
  • 69', Margaritha J. , Rivera D. ,
  • 71', Villanueva A. , Doner M. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Avayevu H. , Johnson D. (A),
  • 79', Avayevu H. , Formella D. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Smith D. , Williams R. (A),
  • 89', 2 - 2, Smith D. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Cedeno J. , Chapman J. (A),
  • 90+3', Cedeno J. , Wiedt S. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
40.9%
Draw
28.9%
Detroit City
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 26.2% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 27.1% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Rising's form might have worsened.
  • Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Phoenix Rising - Detroit City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.79)
    3.18
    (3.53)
    3.05
    (4.21)
    8.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Phoenix Rising will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Detroit City were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Detroit City - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    16.09.2023 Phoenix Rising - Detroit City 5:0
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of Detroit City
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7FC Tulsa833211:9212
    8Colorado Springs723215:1329
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay80264:15-112

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)