Phoenix Rising vs Loudoun United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.74
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
87% (450/516)85% (316/370)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.67
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
79
Passes
87% (450/516)85% (316/370)
Long passes
63% (29/46)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
79% (116/147)74% (65/88)
Crosses
11% (3/27)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.47
Throw-ins
3310
Fouls
97
Tackles
100% (10/10)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3928
Clearances
1132
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.670.24
Goals prevented
-1.33-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Valot F. , Mines B. (A),
  • 12', Mines B. 🟨,
  • 25', Tingey K. 🟨,
  • 30', Flores D. 🟨,
  • 41', Tubbs G. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Czichos R. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Valot F. 🟨,
  • 45+9', 0 - 2, Mines B. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Ryan Z. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 46', Smith C. , Mar Boye P. ,
  • 46', Czichos R. , Sainte C. F. ,
  • 54', Okello N. , Emmers X. ,
  • 54', Flores D. , Cuello E. ,
  • 55', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 61', Mines B. , Aboukoura A. ,
  • 68', Cabral R. , Dennis C. ,
  • 74', Ordonez A. , Bidois R. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Leerman Y. (Own goal),
  • 87', Valot F. , Akinyode B. ,
  • 87', Awuah K. , Dambrot R. ,
  • 90+9', Dambrot R. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Dennis C. 🟨,
  • 90+11', 2 - 2, Sainte C. F. , Dennis C. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
40.6%
Draw
26.3%
Loudoun United
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.8% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 28.3% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.
  • Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Loudoun United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Rising that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Loudoun United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Phoenix Rising - Loudoun United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.7)
    3.53
    (3.3)
    2.81
    (2.4)
    7.7%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising - Loudoun United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Loudoun United were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Loudoun United - Phoenix Rising 0:1
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay541010:3713
    2Louisville City641114:9513
    3Detroit53116:2410
    4Charleston53027:709
    5Miami FC62317:709
    6Hartford Athletic62317:709
    7Indy Eleven52218:628
    8Pittsburgh62138:11-37
    9Brooklyn62045:9-46
    10Rhode Island51227:8-15
    11Birmingham51225:6-15
    12Loudoun50328:11-33
    13Sporting Jax60155:13-81


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC74217:3414
    2El Paso541014:5913
    3San Antonio73315:3212
    4Sacramento Republic62317:439
    5Oakland Roots52217:618
    6New Mexico52035:8-36
    7Phoenix Rising61328:806
    8Colorado Springs51228:9-15
    9Las Vegas Lights61239:11-25
    10Lexington61236:8-25
    11FC Tulsa51224:6-25
    12Monterey Bay60242:9-72

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