Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN 2, ESPN App |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (272/310) | 93% (557/601) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (272/310) | 93% (557/601) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 80% (40/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (74/99) | 81% (104/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 4% (1/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Sacko I. 🟨,
- 27', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Azocar J. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
- 59', Bassett O. 🟨,
- 66', Okello N. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
- 66', Flores D. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
- 66', Vancaeyezeele T. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 66', Bassett O. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Rizzo P. ⚽,
- 75', Pacius W. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
- 75', Moon N. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽,
- 77', Rivera D. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 90', Avayevu H. ↓, Emmers X. ↑,
- 90', Sacko I. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
- 90+1', Cabral R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Arteaga M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Rowdies
48% | Draw
25.7% | Phoenix Rising
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.8) |
3.62 ↓
(3.69) |
3.52 ↓
(3.95) |
7.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Phoenix Rising?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Phoenix Rising has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
10.08.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:0
06.05.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Phoenix Rising
2:0
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:15 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
