Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:3
02/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 5
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Sky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3324
Shots off target
1512
Shooting PCT
18.18% (6/33)12.5% (3/24)
Blocked shots
1810
Goalkeeper Saves
2127
Saves PCT
87.5% (21/24)84.38% (27/32)
Penalties
54
PIM
1010
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)20% (1/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
80% (4/5)100% (4/4)
Hits
1821
Faceoffs Won
2539
Faceoffs %
39.0660.94
Giveaways
1715
Takeaways
44
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 05:06, 1 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Goncalves G. (A),
  • 07:01, 1 - 1, Rakell R. (G), Girard S. (A), Letang K. (A2)
  • 16:10, 1 - 2, Chinakhov Y. (G), Rust B. (A), Girard S. (A2)
  • 17:52, Clifton C. (2 min),
  • 18:24, Raddysh D. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 00:11, 2 - 2, Cirelli A. (G),
  • 14:08, 3 - 2, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 19:05, 4 - 2, Girgensons Z. (G), Gourde Y. (A), McDonagh R. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:04, Bjorkstrand O. (2 min),
  • 01:04, Malkin E. (2 min),
  • 01:04, Malkin E. (2 min),
  • 07:35, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
  • 10:15, Dewar C. (2 min),
  • 10:37, Raddysh D. (2 min),
  • 13:50, 5 - 2, Kucherov N. (G), D'Astous C. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
  • 15:33, 6 - 2, Cirelli A. (G), Goncalves G. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 15:33, Rust B. (2 min),
  • 18:10, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 19:58, 6 - 3, Chinakhov Y. (G), Letang K. (A), Mantha A. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
47.9%
Draw
21.8%
Pittsburgh Penguins
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 21.1% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 22.3% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.84)
    4.34
    (4.47)
    3.09
    (3.43)
    6.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • Tampa Bay could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Carlile D. (Lower-Body Injury) Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) Hagel B. (Injury) Hedman V. (Personal Reasons) James D. (Leg Injury) Sabourin S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Lizotte B. (Upper-Body Injury) Rust B. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 65:66. (average 3.3:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 3.3:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins were as follows:
    13.01.2026 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:2
    04.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:4
    25.03.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 6:1
    12.01.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5
    19.11.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:3
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    Eastern Conference
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    3Buffalo Sabres ✔ 78398823270:233102
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    6Boston Bruins7931121026264:24696
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    12Washington Capitals78336930248:24087
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          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )