Result
1:2 penalties
13/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.85% (1/26) | 3.23% (1/31) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.77% (30/31) | 96.15% (25/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (6/6) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 56.82 | 43.18 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 01:54, Kucherov N. (2 min),
- 15:17, Kucherov N. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 02:49, Cernak E. (2 min),
- 09:40, Clifton C. (2 min),
- 12:16, Crosby S. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 03:10, Clifton C. (5 min),
- 03:10, Cirelli A. (2 min),
- 03:10, Cirelli A. (5 min),
- 03:10, Clifton C. (5 min),
- 14:13, 0 - 1, Moser J.J. (G), Gourde Y. (A), Girgensons Z. (A2)
- 17:44, 1 - 1, Malkin E. (G), Letang K. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Rakell R. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Goncalves G. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Crosby S. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Guentzel J. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Chinakhov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kucherov N. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Pittsburgh Penguins
32.9% | Draw
22.5% | Tampa Bay Lightning
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89
(2.89) |
4.22 ↓
(4.28) |
2.14 ↑
(2.09) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 4 - 50%). Tampa Bay (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.
- Recent performances by Pittsburgh have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tampa Bay is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Pittsburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hallander F.
(Leg Injury)
McGroarty R.
(Concussion)
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Rust B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 70:65. (average 3.5:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 3.6:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pittsburgh Penguins won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Pittsburgh Penguins has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Pittsburgh Penguins?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
04.12.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Pittsburgh Penguins
3:4
25.03.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Pittsburgh Penguins
6:1
12.01.2025
Pittsburgh Penguins
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:5
19.11.2024
Pittsburgh Penguins
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:3
06.04.2024
Pittsburgh Penguins
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
5:4
Latest results of Pittsburgh Penguins
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 55 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 212:138 | 83 |
| 2 | Minnesota Wild | 58 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 196:169 | 78 |
| 3 | Dallas Stars | 57 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 193:160 | 77 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 57 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 191:179 | 68 |
| 5 | Utah Mammoth | 57 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 183:157 | 64 |
| 6 | Edmonton Oilers | 58 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 198:194 | 64 |
| 7 | Seattle Kraken | 56 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 162:165 | 63 |
| 8 | Anaheim Ducks | 56 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 23 | 185:195 | 63 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 56 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 146:161 | 60 |
| 10 | Nashville Predators | 57 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 169:198 | 59 |
| 11 | San Jose Sharks | 55 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 171:193 | 58 |
| 12 | Chicago Blackhawks | 57 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 154:185 | 53 |
| 13 | Winnipeg Jets | 56 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 160:175 | 52 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 56 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 142:169 | 52 |
| 15 | St. Louis Blues | 57 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 147:203 | 49 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 57 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 149:210 | 42 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 55 | 28 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 199:140 | 78 |
| 2 | Carolina Hurricanes | 57 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 197:163 | 78 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 57 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 199:187 | 72 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 58 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 174:175 | 72 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 56 | 25 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 192:169 | 70 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres | 57 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 195:176 | 70 |
| 7 | Boston Bruins | 57 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 195:182 | 69 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 58 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 169:162 | 69 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 56 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 179:177 | 65 |
| 10 | Washington Capitals | 59 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 189:177 | 65 |
| 11 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 57 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 188:194 | 63 |
| 12 | Ottawa Senators | 57 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 191:184 | 63 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Flyers | 56 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 167:180 | 61 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 57 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 174:191 | 61 |
| 15 | New Jersey Devils | 57 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 27 | 146:175 | 58 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 57 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 151:180 | 50 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
