Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Amalie Arena (Tampa, FL).

USA: NHL
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
27	17
Shots off target
15	10
Shooting PCT
22.22% (6/27)	5.88% (1/17)
Blocked Shots
15	15
Goalkeeper Saves
16	21
Saves PCT
94.12% (16/17)	77.78% (21/27)
Penalties
2	5
PIM
4	18
Power-play Goals
1	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)	0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)	80% (4/5)
Hits
10	37
Faceoffs Won
27	39
Faceoffs %
40.91	59.09
Giveaways
14	9
Takeaways
5	4
Empty Net Goals
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (4 - 0)
07:02, Rakell R. (2 min),
12:13, 1 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Paul N. (A), McDonagh R. (A2)
13:30, 2 - 0, McDonagh R. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Cernak E. (A2)
15:12, 3 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
16:00, 4 - 0, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
16:00, Jarry T. ↓, Nedeljkovic A. ↑,
2nd Period (2 - 0)
07:05, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
13:39, Graves R. (2 min),
15:31, 5 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Bjorkstrand O. (A2)
19:19, 6 - 0, Hagel B. (G), Perbix N. (A), Lilleberg E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:53, Imama B. (2 min),
03:53, Imama B. (2 min),
03:53, Imama B. (10 min),
04:48, Kucherov N. (2 min),
14:15, 6 - 1, Rust B. (G), Grzelcyk M. (A), Crosby S. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tampa Bay Lightning
58.8%

Draw
19.8%

Pittsburgh Penguins
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

20.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

20.1%

26.9%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)	4.77 ↑ (4.75)	4.33 ↑ (3.56)	6.3% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

Watch this match and NHL with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : FanDuel Sports Network Sun

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Pittsburgh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Tampa Bay have a series of guest games.
Recently Pittsburgh have a series of home games.
In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.
There will not play in Pittsburgh: Blomqvist J. (Injury) Joseph P. (Upper-Body Injury) Shea R. (Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Bemstrom E. (Injury) Novak T. (Lower-Body Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 68:70 (average 3.4:3.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:34 (average 3.6:3.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Pittsburgh Penguins?

Tampa Bay Lightning has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pittsburgh Penguins won against Tampa Bay Lightning?

Pittsburgh Penguins has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins were as follows:

12.01.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5

19.11.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:3

06.04.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:4

06.12.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:1

30.11.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:4

Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning

23.03.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Utah Mammoth - Tampa Bay Lightning 6:4 ✺

20.03.2025 Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:6 ✺

13.03.2025 Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Pittsburgh Penguins

23.03.2025 Florida Panthers - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:3 ✺

21.03.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Columbus Blue Jackets 6:3 ✺

18.03.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Islanders 2:4 ✺

15.03.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - New Jersey Devils 7:3 ✺

13.03.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - St. Louis Blues 5:3 ✺

NHL Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Colorado Avalanche	12	7	0	4	1	45:32	18
2	Utah Mammoth	11	6	2	0	3	40:30	16
3	Winnipeg Jets	11	7	1	0	3	40:28	16
4	Vegas Golden Knights	11	5	1	3	2	39:32	15
5	Dallas Stars	11	5	1	2	3	30:32	14
6	Los Angeles Kings	12	2	3	4	3	36:40	14
7	Seattle Kraken	10	3	2	3	2	28:29	13
8	Anaheim Ducks	10	4	2	1	3	37:33	13
9	Edmonton Oilers	12	4	1	3	4	38:39	13
10	Chicago Blackhawks	11	4	1	2	4	36:32	12
11	Vancouver Canucks	12	3	3	0	6	33:36	12
12	Nashville Predators	12	3	1	2	6	29:41	10
13	Minnesota Wild	12	2	1	3	6	32:47	9
14	San Jose Sharks	11	1	2	2	6	37:48	8
15	St. Louis Blues	11	3	0	2	6	32:48	8
16	Calgary Flames	12	1	1	2	8	27:43	6

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Pittsburgh Penguins	12	8	0	2	2	44:31	18
2	Montreal Canadiens	11	4	4	0	3	40:33	16
3	New Jersey Devils	11	7	1	0	3	41:35	16
4	Detroit Red Wings	12	6	2	0	4	41:39	16
5	Carolina Hurricanes	10	4	3	0	3	40:30	14
6	Philadelphia Flyers	10	3	3	1	3	30:24	13
7	Ottawa Senators	12	4	2	1	5	45:47	13
8	Columbus Blue Jackets	10	4	2	0	4	35:31	12
9	Washington Capitals	11	5	1	0	5	28:25	12
10	Tampa Bay Lightning	11	3	2	2	4	31:31	12
11	New York Rangers	12	4	1	2	5	28:29	12
12	Boston Bruins	13	4	2	0	7	43:47	12
13	New York Islanders	11	5	0	1	5	37:40	11
14	Toronto Maple Leafs	11	3	2	1	5	38:42	11
15	Florida Panthers	11	5	0	1	5	27:31	11
16	Buffalo Sabres	11	4	0	3	4	33:35	11

Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )