Result
6:2
07/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Disney+, Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 19.35% (6/31) | 6.9% (2/29) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.1% (27/29) | 83.33% (25/30) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 50% (2/4) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 39 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 39.06 | 60.94 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 03:49, Stutzle T. (2 min),
- 03:49, D'Astous C. (2 min),
- 06:33, Geekie C. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 05:15, Stutzle T. (2 min),
- 15:46, 1 - 0, Spence J. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
- 18:23, 1 - 1, Paul N. (G), Perry C. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (5 - 1)
- 02:45, 2 - 1, Zetterlund F. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Crotty C. (A2)
- 04:39, 3 - 1, Sanderson J. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Tkachuk B. (A2)
- 10:35, 3 - 2, Perry C. (G), McDonagh R. (A), Paul N. (A2)
- 12:32, Gourde Y. (2 min),
- 12:51, 4 - 2, Stutzle T. (G), Cozens D. (A), Batherson D. (A2)
- 12:51, (2 min),
- 13:04, 5 - 2, Sanderson J. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Batherson D. (A2)
- 15:40, (2 min),
- 16:41, 6 - 2, Pinto S. (G),
Chances of winning
Ottawa Senators
43.5% | Draw
22.6% | Tampa Bay Lightning
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ottawa Senators's performance.Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Lightning might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ottawa Senators that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Lightning could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.81) |
4.19 ↓
(4.32) |
2.79 ↑
(2.25) |
5.5%
(3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Ottawa: Chabot T.
(Arm Injury)
Gilbert D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Jensen N.
(Knee Injury)
Kleven T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Yakemchuk C.
(Concussion)
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Carlile D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Hagel B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Hedman V.
(Personal Reasons)
James D.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Sabourin S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 71:67. (average 3.6:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:31. (average 4.4:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ottawa Senators won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Ottawa Senators has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Ottawa Senators?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
28.03.2026
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Ottawa Senators
4:2
09.10.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Ottawa Senators
4:5
03.04.2025
Ottawa Senators
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:1
06.02.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Ottawa Senators
5:1
04.02.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Ottawa Senators
4:3
Latest results of Ottawa Senators
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
