Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.91
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
78% (351/451)77% (281/363)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.83
Total shots
910
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1428
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
916
Passes
78% (351/451)77% (281/363)
Long passes
37% (28/75)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
52% (51/98)70% (99/141)
Crosses
50% (4/8)11% (4/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.01
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
179
Tackles
73% (8/11)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4749
Clearances
3317
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.831.73
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Ahl C. , Mertz R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Alvarez L. , Arteaga M. ,
  • 50', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
  • 61', Crisostomo D. , Moon N. ,
  • 61', Bodily B. , Skinner J. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Hilton L. ,
  • 69', Marie P. 🟨,
  • 74', Sample B. , Walti J. ,
  • 74', Ahl C. , Boone C. ,
  • 74', Moon N. , Azocar J. ,
  • 75', Hilton L. , Sharp C. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Pacius W. , Arteaga M. (A),
  • 85', Mertz R. , Jacquesson B. ,
  • 85', Biasi L. , Osumanu I. ,
  • 85', Vacter G. , Etou B. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
33.1%
Draw
29.2%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 29.9% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 28.8% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.6)
    3.28
    (3.09)
    2.54
    (2.67)
    4.6%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Tampa Bay (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.
    • Tampa Bay is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pittsburgh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    14.09.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:1
    06.04.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:0
    07.10.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:2
    05.08.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:0
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)