Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, KDKA+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (256/340) | 79% (355/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (256/340) | 79% (355/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/66) | 40% (33/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (70/112) | 58% (64/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Vancaeyezeele T. (Own goal),
- 20', 2 - 0, Williams A. ⚽, Biasi L. (A),
- 40', 2 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Bassett O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Suber S. 🟨,
- 66', Pacius W. 🟨,
- 68', Ahl C. ↓, Griffin D. ↑,
- 68', Jacquesson B. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 72', Wyke L. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 72', Bodily B. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
- 76', Ydrach R. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
- 81', Vancaeyezeele T. ↓, Crisostomo D. ↑,
- 88', Mertz R. ↓, Broughton M. ↑,
- 90', Bassett O. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
- 90+4', Biasi L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Arteaga M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
49.6% | Draw
28% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Riverhounds's performance.Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rowdies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Riverhounds that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.21) |
3.3 ↓
(3.38) |
4.13 ↑
(3) |
8.2%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Users Predictions:
Pittsburgh Riverhounds will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pittsburgh Riverhounds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Pittsburgh might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pittsburgh Riverhounds won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
14.09.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:1
06.04.2024
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:0
07.10.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:2
05.08.2023
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1:0
Latest results of Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
