Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (351/451) | 77% (281/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (351/451) | 77% (281/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (28/75) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (51/98) | 70% (99/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 11% (4/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Ahl C. ⚽, Mertz R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Alvarez L. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
- 50', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
- 61', Crisostomo D. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
- 61', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Hilton L. ⚽,
- 69', Marie P. 🟨,
- 74', Sample B. ↓, Walti J. ↑,
- 74', Ahl C. ↓, Boone C. ↑,
- 74', Moon N. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
- 75', Hilton L. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Arteaga M. (A),
- 85', Mertz R. ↓, Jacquesson B. ↑,
- 85', Biasi L. ↓, Osumanu I. ↑,
- 85', Vacter G. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Rowdies
33.1% | Draw
29.2% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.6) |
3.28 ↑
(3.09) |
2.54 ↓
(2.67) |
4.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.
- Tampa Bay is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pittsburgh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pittsburgh Riverhounds won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds were as follows:
21.06.2025
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:1
14.09.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:1
06.04.2024
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:0
07.10.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:2
05.08.2023
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1:0
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
Latest results of Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
