Result
2:2
12/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Solano E. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Ramos O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽,
- 56', Solano E. 🟨,
- 65', Morales A. ↓, Canelas J. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Solano E. ⚽,
- 69', Moya B. ↓, Vega Orellana A. N. ↑,
- 69', Arriaga L. ↓, Aguilera J. ↑,
- 69', Castillo R. ↓, Messiniti N. ↑,
- 71', Padilla O. 🟨,
- 76', Ramirez D. 🟨,
- 79', Sorto Caballero T. A. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
- 79', Perez C. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,
- 88', Solano E. ↓, Arzu J. ↑,
- 89', Aguilera J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Canelas J. ↓, Arriola Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
CD Marathón
59.5% | Draw
24.5% | Platense
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
CD Marathón - Platense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.45) |
3.77 ↓
(4.34) |
5.78 ↓
(6.38) |
8.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for CD Marathón - Platense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marathón (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Platense (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Platense (3.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Platense (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Marathón (votes: 1 - 25%). Platense (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 2.
- Recent performances by Marathón have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Platense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Marathón is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:24. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Platense?
CD Marathón has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Platense won against CD Marathón?
Platense has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Platense were as follows:
21.12.2025
Platense
-
CD Marathón
2:2
18.12.2025
CD Marathón
-
Platense
3:0
08.11.2025
CD Marathón
-
Platense
1:0
11.09.2025
Platense
-
CD Marathón
1:1
Latest results of CD Marathón
Latest results of Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Marathon | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Victoria | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Genesis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
