Result
1:1
11/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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38% | 62% |
Total shots |
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6 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Total shots |
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6 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 11 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Messiniti N. ⚽,
- 22', Figueroa H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, Perez C. ⚽,
- 60', Padilla O. (Pen),
- 64', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Martinez Hernandez F. E. ↑,
- 66', Aguilera J. 🟨,
- 85', Castillo I. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Platense 18.3% | Draw 23.3% | CD Marathón 58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platense's form might have worsened.CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Marathón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Marathón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Platense - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.98 ↑ (3.41) |
3.92 ↑ (3.44) |
1.57 ↓ (1.93) |
9.5% (10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Marathón is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Platense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 23:44. (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.6:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Platense won against CD Marathón?
Platense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Platense?
CD Marathón has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Platense - CD Marathón were as follows:
Latest results of Platense
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Marathon | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
2 | Olimpia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 18 |
3 | Olancho | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
4 | Motagua | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
5 | Juticalpa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
6 | Platense | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 13 |
7 | UPNFM | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
8 | Real Espana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Genesis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
10 | Choloma | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 |
11 | Victoria | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )