Platense vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.31
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
59% (157/264)63% (162/258)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.26
Total shots
105
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
2911
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
2111
Passes
59% (157/264)63% (162/258)
Long passes
31% (24/77)29% (23/78)
Passes in final third
51% (67/132)32% (25/77)
Crosses
18% (5/28)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.42
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
1121
Tackles
56% (5/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5850
Clearances
2050
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.261.38
Goals prevented
0.260.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Mainero G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Schor I. , Lotti A. ,
  • 60', Frias F. 🟨,
  • 61', Orihuela R. 🟨,
  • 63', Frias F. , Pratto L. ,
  • 63', Gomez J. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 68', Garcia M. , Seyral A. ,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Diaz G. , Morales I. (A),
  • 77', Baldassarra F. , Toloza S. ,
  • 78', Herrera R. , Marquez De Meneses R. L. ,
  • 80', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 81', Diaz G. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 85', Saborido J. , Orsini N. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Martinez R. , Vazquez I. (A),
  • 90+3', Acosta L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Platense
50%
Draw
30.7%
Sarmiento de Junín
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 30.5% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 29.8% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platense's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Junín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Platense - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.25)
    3.01
    (3.09)
    4.9
    (3.4)
    6.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Platense - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Sarmiento (1.93) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Platense (1.79) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Platense will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Platense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Platense (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sarmiento (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 4.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Platense is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Platense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 0.8:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Platense - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Platense 0:1
    26.11.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Platense 1:0
    14.04.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Platense 0:1
    25.11.2023 Platense - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    09.07.2023 Platense - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    Latest results of Platense
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1064012:5722
    2Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    3Union de Santa Fe1044216:10616
    4Defensa y Justicia1037013:8516
    5Lanus943215:12315
    6Talleres Cordoba1043310:9115
    7Boca Juniors1035211:7414
    8Independiente1035216:13314
    9Platense103526:6014
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1032511:13-211
    13Gimnasia Mendoza102356:12-69
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys100376:22-163


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1062216:12420
    2Belgrano1054111:7419
    3Rosario Central1053212:7518
    4Tigre1045116:9717
    5River Plate1052312:9317
    6Racing Club1043313:9415
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Gimnasia L.P1042413:14-114
    9Huracan103439:9013
    10Argentinos Jrs82515:4111
    11Banfield1031611:13-210
    12Sarmiento Junin103166:11-510
    13Atl. Tucuman1013611:16-56
    14Aldosivi90543:9-65
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto101183:15-124

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)