Platense vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:1
03/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.31
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
59% (157/264)63% (162/258)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.26
Total shots
105
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
2911
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
2111
Passes
59% (157/264)63% (162/258)
Long passes
31% (24/77)29% (23/78)
Passes in final third
51% (67/132)32% (25/77)
Crosses
18% (5/28)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.42
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
1121
Tackles
56% (5/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5850
Clearances
2050
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.261.38
Goals prevented
0.260.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Mainero G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Schor I. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
  • 60', Frias F. 🟨,
  • 61', Orihuela R. 🟨,
  • 63', Frias F. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
  • 63', Gomez J. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
  • 68', Garcia M. ↓, Seyral A. ↑,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Diaz G. ⚽, Morales I. (A),
  • 77', Baldassarra F. ↓, Toloza S. ↑,
  • 78', Herrera R. ↓, Marquez De Meneses R. L. ↑,
  • 80', Contrera J. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
  • 81', Diaz G. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
  • 85', Saborido J. ↓, Orsini N. ↑,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽, Vazquez I. (A),
  • 90+3', Acosta L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Platense
50%		Draw
30.7%		Sarmiento de Junín
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 30.5% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 29.8% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platense's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Junín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Platense - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.9 ↓
    (2.25)    		 3.01 ↓
    (3.09)    		 4.9 ↑
    (3.4)    		 6.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Platense - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Sarmiento (1.93) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Platense (1.79) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Platense will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Platense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sarmiento (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 4.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Platense is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Platense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 0.8:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Platense - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Platense 0:1
    26.11.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Platense 1:0
    14.04.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Platense 0:1
    25.11.2023 Platense - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    09.07.2023 Platense - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    Latest results of Platense
    24.10.2025 Independiente - Platense 3:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 Rosario Central - Platense 1:0 ✺
    13.10.2025 Platense - Deportivo Riestra 1:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Atlético Tucumán - Platense 2:0
    26.09.2025 Platense - San Martín de San Juan 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    24.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central 0:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield 0:2 ✺
    12.10.2025 River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy