Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 41
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (220/310) | 69% (232/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (220/310) | 69% (232/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 35% (29/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (83/138) | 52% (57/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (6/38) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Sheehan J. 🟨,
- 43', McAtee J. 🟥,
- 45+2', Rodrigues R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Gale T. ↓, Forino-Joseph C. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Kenny J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 57', 1 - 1, Curtis R. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
- 58', Oseni O. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
- 59', MacKenzie J. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
- 64', Rodrigues R. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
- 64', Kenny J. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Boateng M. (Own goal),
- 71', Dale O. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
- 80', Edwards J. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle
42.3% | Draw
25% | Bolton Wanderers
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.48) |
3.75 ↑
(3.58) |
2.86 ↑
(2.57) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Bolton will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 46.1% – 91.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Plymouth Argyle will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 2.
- Plymouth is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Finn T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ibrahim B.
(Ankle Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Calf Injury)
Ralls J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sorinola M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Thigh Injury)
Forss M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Tolaj L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Bolton Wanderers?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Plymouth Argyle?
Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
09.08.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:0
02.04.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Plymouth Argyle
4:0
07.01.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Plymouth Argyle
0:0
27.08.2022
Plymouth Argyle
-
Bolton Wanderers
2:0
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
