Bolton Wanderers vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle
Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 2
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.23
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
133
Shots on target
20
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
76% (204/268)82% (354/432)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.00
Total shots
133
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
49
Free Kicks
916
Passes
76% (204/268)82% (354/432)
Long passes
53% (33/62)46% (27/59)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)47% (28/60)
Crosses
50% (8/16)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.21
Throw-ins
2430
Fouls
169
Tackles
64% (14/22)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5354
Clearances
1618
Interceptions
177
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.72
Goals prevented
0.00-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Johnston G. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Toal E. , Sheehan J. (A),
  • 45+2', Sheehan J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Burstow M. , Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
  • 62', Pepple A. , Paterson J. ,
  • 63', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
  • 65', Gale T. , Dacres-Cogley J. ,
  • 68', Ibrahim B. , Roberts C. ,
  • 68', Amaechi X. , Finn T. ,
  • 74', Burstow M. , McAtee J. ,
  • 76', Palsson V. , Wiredu B. ,
  • 77', Galloway B. , Benarous A. ,
  • 82', Osei-Tutu J. , Erhahon E. ,
  • 83', Simons X. , Warren C. ,
  • 87', Mumba B. 🟨,
  • 90', Watts C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
55.1%
Draw
24.4%
Plymouth Argyle
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 25.9% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 26% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.94)
    3.86
    (3.65)
    4.56
    (3.74)
    6.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1.
    • Bolton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Plymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Bolton has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bolton is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Hazard C. (Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Pepple A. (Inactive) Roberts C. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Bolton will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    02.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle 4:0
    07.01.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle 0:0
    27.08.2022 Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers 2:0
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two