Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 2
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (204/268) | 82% (354/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (204/268) | 82% (354/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (70/112) | 47% (28/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Johnston G. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Toal E. ⚽, Sheehan J. (A),
- 45+2', Sheehan J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Sorinola M. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Burstow M. ⚽, Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
- 62', Pepple A. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
- 63', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
- 65', Gale T. ↓, Dacres-Cogley J. ↑,
- 68', Ibrahim B. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
- 68', Amaechi X. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
- 74', Burstow M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
- 76', Palsson V. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
- 77', Galloway B. ↓, Benarous A. ↑,
- 82', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
- 83', Simons X. ↓, Warren C. ↑,
- 87', Mumba B. 🟨,
- 90', Watts C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers 55.1% | Draw 24.4% | Plymouth Argyle 20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.94) |
3.86 ↑ (3.65) |
4.56 ↑ (3.74) |
6.4% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1.
- Bolton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Plymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Bolton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bolton is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Hazard C.
(Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Pepple A.
(Inactive)
Roberts C.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Bolton will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Plymouth Argyle?
Bolton Wanderers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Bolton Wanderers?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
02.04.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Plymouth Argyle
4:0
07.01.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Plymouth Argyle
0:0
27.08.2022
Plymouth Argyle
-
Bolton Wanderers
2:0
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two