Bolton Wanderers vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle
Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 2
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.23
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
133
Shots on target
20
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
76% (204/268)82% (354/432)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.00
Total shots
133
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
49
Free Kicks
916
Passes
76% (204/268)82% (354/432)
Long passes
53% (33/62)46% (27/59)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)47% (28/60)
Crosses
50% (8/16)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.21
Throw-ins
2430
Fouls
169
Tackles
64% (14/22)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5354
Clearances
1618
Interceptions
177
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.72
Goals prevented
0.00-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Johnston G. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Toal E. , Sheehan J. (A),
  • 45+2', Sheehan J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Burstow M. , Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
  • 62', Pepple A. , Paterson J. ,
  • 63', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
  • 65', Gale T. , Dacres-Cogley J. ,
  • 68', Ibrahim B. , Roberts C. ,
  • 68', Amaechi X. , Finn T. ,
  • 74', Burstow M. , McAtee J. ,
  • 76', Palsson V. , Wiredu B. ,
  • 77', Galloway B. , Benarous A. ,
  • 82', Osei-Tutu J. , Erhahon E. ,
  • 83', Simons X. , Warren C. ,
  • 87', Mumba B. 🟨,
  • 90', Watts C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
55.1%
Draw
24.4%
Plymouth Argyle
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 25.9% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 26% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.94)
    3.86
    (3.65)
    4.56
    (3.74)
    6.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1.
    • Bolton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Plymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Bolton has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bolton is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Hazard C. (Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Pepple A. (Inactive) Roberts C. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Bolton will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    02.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle 4:0
    07.01.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle 0:0
    27.08.2022 Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers 2:0
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage44008:3512
    2Cardiff43106:1510
    3Barnsley43108:4410
    4Bradford City43106:3310
    5Huddersfield43019:369
    6Luton43015:239
    7Lincoln43016:429
    8Stockport County42117:527
    9Leyton Orient42115:507
    10Doncaster42114:407
    11Exeter42026:426
    12Mansfield42026:516
    13Wigan42025:416
    14AFC Wimbledon42024:316
    15Bolton41214:405
    16Burton31114:404
    17Rotherham31022:5-33
    18Blackpool41036:11-53
    19Port Vale40222:4-22
    20Wycombe40133:6-31
    21Reading40132:7-51
    22Northampton40131:6-51
    23Plymouth40043:9-60
    24Peterborough40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two