Bolton Wanderers vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton).

League One - Round 2
Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.60	0.23
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
13	3
Shots on target
2	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
76% (204/268)	82% (354/432)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60	0.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	0.00
Total shots
13	3
Shots on target
2	0
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
9	2
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
28	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	9
Free Kicks
9	16
Passes
76% (204/268)	82% (354/432)
Long passes
53% (33/62)	46% (27/59)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)	47% (28/60)
Crosses
50% (8/16)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	0.21
Throw-ins
24	30
Fouls
16	9
Tackles
64% (14/22)	74% (17/23)
Duels won
53	54
Clearances
16	18
Interceptions
17	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
xGOT faced
0.00	0.72
Goals prevented
0.00	-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Johnston G. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Toal E. ⚽, Sheehan J. (A),
45+2', Sheehan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Sorinola M. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Burstow M. ⚽, Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
62', Pepple A. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
63', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
65', Gale T. ↓, Dacres-Cogley J. ↑,
68', Ibrahim B. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
68', Amaechi X. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
74', Burstow M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
76', Palsson V. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
77', Galloway B. ↓, Benarous A. ↑,
82', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
83', Simons X. ↓, Warren C. ↑,
87', Mumba B. 🟨,
90', Watts C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bolton Wanderers
55.1%

Draw
24.4%

Plymouth Argyle
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.94)	3.86 ↑ (3.65)	4.56 ↑ (3.74)	6.4% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Bolton (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 13 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1.
Bolton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Plymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Bolton has had a series of away games.
In this match, Bolton is the team to beat.
There will not play in Plymouth: Hazard C. (Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Pepple A. (Inactive) Roberts C. (Inactive)
We predict that Bolton will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Plymouth Argyle?

Bolton Wanderers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Bolton Wanderers?

Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:

02.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle 4:0

07.01.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle 0:0

27.08.2022 Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers 2:0

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

03.08.2025 Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers 2:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Preston North End 2:0 ✺

22.07.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:5 ✺

19.07.2025 Hibernian - Bolton Wanderers 0:2 ✺

15.07.2025 Barrow - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

02.08.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley 1:3 ✺

26.07.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City 0:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Torquay United - Plymouth Argyle 0:6 ✺

16.07.2025 Truro City - Plymouth Argyle 2:3 ✺

11.07.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Plymouth Argyle 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two